Capital City Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CCBG Stock  USD 42.62  0.24  0.56%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Capital City Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 41.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.66. Capital Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Capital City's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The Capital City's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.07, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 7.67. . The Capital City's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 18.5 M. The Capital City's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 48.5 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Capital Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Capital City's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Capital City's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Capital City stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Capital City's open interest, investors have to compare it to Capital City's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Capital City is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Capital. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Capital City Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Capital City's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1997-03-31
Previous Quarter
78.5 M
Current Value
68.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
31.2 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Capital City is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Capital City Bank value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Capital City Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Capital City Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 41.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Capital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Capital City's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Capital City Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Capital CityCapital City Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Capital City Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Capital City's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Capital City's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.61 and 43.00, respectively. We have considered Capital City's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
42.62
41.30
Expected Value
43.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capital City stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capital City stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3586
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6009
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0146
SAESum of the absolute errors36.6573
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Capital City Bank. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Capital City. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Capital City

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital City Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.9742.6744.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.4744.1745.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.0141.4744.93
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
41.9446.0851.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital City. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital City's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital City's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capital City Bank.

Other Forecasting Options for Capital City

For every potential investor in Capital, whether a beginner or expert, Capital City's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capital City's price trends.

Capital City Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Capital City stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Capital City could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capital City by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Capital City Bank Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Capital City's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Capital City's current price.

Capital City Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Capital City stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Capital City shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Capital City stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Capital City Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Capital City Risk Indicators

The analysis of Capital City's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capital City's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting capital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Capital City Bank is a strong investment it is important to analyze Capital City's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Capital City's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Capital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital City to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital City. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital City listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.208
Dividend Share
0.97
Earnings Share
3.57
Revenue Per Share
14.476
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.094
The market value of Capital City Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital City's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital City's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital City's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital City's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital City's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital City is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital City's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.