Chautauqua Global Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

Chautauqua Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chautauqua price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chautauqua using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chautauqua charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Chautauqua Global price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Chautauqua Global Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Chautauqua Global Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 28.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.34.

Chautauqua Global Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Chautauqua Global Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chautauqua Global mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chautauqua Global mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Chautauqua Global Growth historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Chautauqua Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chautauqua Global Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 27.71 28.66 29.61 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 28.06 29.01 29.96 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 25.86 27.71 29.57 Details

Chautauqua Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Chautauqua Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Chautauqua Global Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Chautauqua Global Hype Timeline

Chautauqua Global Growth is currently traded for 28.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Chautauqua is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Chautauqua Global is about 2500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.74. The company last dividend was issued on the 26th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chautauqua Global to cross-verify your projections.

Chautauqua Global Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Chautauqua Global

For every potential investor in Chautauqua, whether a beginner or expert, Chautauqua Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chautauqua Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chautauqua. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chautauqua Global's price trends.

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