Career College Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CCHZ Stock  USD 0.0003  0.00  0.000003%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Career College Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Career Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Career College's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Career College's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Career College Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Career College hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Career College Holding from the perspective of Career College response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Career College Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Career College after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Career College to cross-verify your projections.

Career College Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Career price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Career using various technical indicators. When you analyze Career charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Career College's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.5 M
Current Value
2.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
993.5 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Career College is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Career College Holding value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Career College Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Career College Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Career Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Career College's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Career College Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Career CollegeCareer College Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Career College Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Career College's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Career College's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 0.0003, respectively. We have considered Career College's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0003
0.0003
Downside
0.0003
Expected Value
0.0003
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Career College stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Career College stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria63.9026
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Career College Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Career College. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Career College

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Career College Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00030.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00030.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00030.00030.0003
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Career College. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Career College's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Career College's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Career College Holding.

Career College After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Career College at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Career College or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Career College, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Career College Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Career College's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Career College's historical news coverage. Career College's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Career College's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0003
0.0003
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Career College is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Career College Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Career College Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Career College is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Career College backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Career College, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0003
0.0003
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Career College Hype Timeline

Career College Holding is currently traded for 0.0003. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Career is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Career College is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.07. Career College Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:500 split on the 27th of October 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Career College to cross-verify your projections.

Career College Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Career College's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Career College's future price movements. Getting to know how Career College's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Career College may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VITXVitanaX 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
QNTAQuanta Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ACITFAsian Citrus Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NEWYYPuxin Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MMTSMulti Media Tutorial Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NCDPNicodrops 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FGFTFG Fitness Media 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SBDCFSBD Capital Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SUWNSunwin Stevia International 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MRIBMarani Brands 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Career College

For every potential investor in Career, whether a beginner or expert, Career College's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Career Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Career. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Career College's price trends.

Career College Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Career College stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Career College could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Career College by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Career College Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Career College stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Career College shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Career College stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Career College Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Career College

The number of cover stories for Career College depends on current market conditions and Career College's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Career College is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Career College's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Tools for Career Stock Analysis

When running Career College's price analysis, check to measure Career College's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Career College is operating at the current time. Most of Career College's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Career College's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Career College's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Career College to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.