Canaccord Genuity Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

CCORF Stock  USD 8.80  0.18  2.09%   
Canaccord Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Canaccord Genuity's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Canaccord Genuity's share price is at 59 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Canaccord Genuity, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Canaccord Genuity's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Canaccord Genuity and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Canaccord Genuity's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Canaccord Genuity Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Canaccord Genuity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canaccord Genuity Group from the perspective of Canaccord Genuity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Canaccord Genuity Group on the next trading day is expected to be 8.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.55.

Canaccord Genuity after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canaccord Genuity to cross-verify your projections.

Canaccord Genuity Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Canaccord price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canaccord using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canaccord charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Canaccord Genuity works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Canaccord Genuity Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Canaccord Genuity Group on the next trading day is expected to be 8.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canaccord Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canaccord Genuity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Canaccord Genuity Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Canaccord Genuity  Canaccord Genuity Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Canaccord Genuity Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Canaccord Genuity's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Canaccord Genuity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.22 and 10.48, respectively. We have considered Canaccord Genuity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.80
8.85
Expected Value
10.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canaccord Genuity pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canaccord Genuity pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0249
MADMean absolute deviation0.1091
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0132
SAESum of the absolute errors6.5455
When Canaccord Genuity Group prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Canaccord Genuity Group trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Canaccord Genuity observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Canaccord Genuity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canaccord Genuity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.978.6210.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.467.118.76
Details

Canaccord Genuity After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Canaccord Genuity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canaccord Genuity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Canaccord Genuity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Canaccord Genuity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Canaccord Genuity's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canaccord Genuity's historical news coverage. Canaccord Genuity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.97 and 10.27, respectively. We have considered Canaccord Genuity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.80
8.62
After-hype Price
10.27
Upside
Canaccord Genuity is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canaccord Genuity is based on 3 months time horizon.

Canaccord Genuity Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canaccord Genuity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canaccord Genuity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canaccord Genuity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.63
  0.01 
  0.01 
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.80
8.62
0.00 
1,358  
Notes

Canaccord Genuity Hype Timeline

Canaccord Genuity is currently traded for 8.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Canaccord is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Canaccord Genuity is about 3395.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.81. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.74. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Canaccord Genuity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canaccord Genuity to cross-verify your projections.

Canaccord Genuity Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Canaccord Genuity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canaccord Genuity's future price movements. Getting to know how Canaccord Genuity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canaccord Genuity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CBGPYClose Brothers Group 0.12 3 per month 0.00  0.07  2.50 (1.08) 25.19 
EFGZFEFG Hermes Holding SAE 0.12 12 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CBGPFClose Brothers Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.04  0.00  0.00  16.50 
PHIGPHI Group 0.12 3 per month 0.88  0.01  2.40 (2.34) 10.56 
GEVIGeneral Environmental Management 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 8.70 (7.75) 23.98 
WTBFBWTB Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.21  0.16  1.37 (1.18) 7.87 
HACBYHachijuni Bank Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  1.03  0.00  31.60 
DGTLFOCI International Holdings 0.12 11 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SGCFFSagicor Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  2.19 (0.17) 11.91 
SHGKYSun Hung Kai 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.03  3.39  0.00  35.04 

Other Forecasting Options for Canaccord Genuity

For every potential investor in Canaccord, whether a beginner or expert, Canaccord Genuity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Canaccord Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Canaccord. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Canaccord Genuity's price trends.

Canaccord Genuity Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Canaccord Genuity pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Canaccord Genuity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canaccord Genuity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Canaccord Genuity Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Canaccord Genuity pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Canaccord Genuity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Canaccord Genuity pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Canaccord Genuity Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Canaccord Genuity Risk Indicators

The analysis of Canaccord Genuity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Canaccord Genuity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting canaccord pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Canaccord Genuity

The number of cover stories for Canaccord Genuity depends on current market conditions and Canaccord Genuity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Canaccord Genuity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Canaccord Genuity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Canaccord Pink Sheet

Canaccord Genuity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canaccord Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canaccord with respect to the benefits of owning Canaccord Genuity security.