CCR SA Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CCRO3 Stock  BRL 12.05  0.21  1.77%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CCR SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.13. CCR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for CCR SA is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

CCR SA Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CCR SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CCR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CCR SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CCR SA Stock Forecast Pattern

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CCR SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CCR SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CCR SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.64 and 13.46, respectively. We have considered CCR SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.05
12.05
Expected Value
13.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CCR SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CCR SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.0663
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0262
MADMean absolute deviation0.1548
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0126
SAESum of the absolute errors9.135
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of CCR SA price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CCR SA. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for CCR SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CCR SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6412.0513.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9012.3113.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.7811.9812.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CCR SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CCR SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CCR SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CCR SA.

Other Forecasting Options for CCR SA

For every potential investor in CCR, whether a beginner or expert, CCR SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CCR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CCR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CCR SA's price trends.

CCR SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CCR SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CCR SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CCR SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CCR SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CCR SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CCR SA's current price.

CCR SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CCR SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CCR SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CCR SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CCR SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CCR SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of CCR SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CCR SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ccr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for CCR Stock Analysis

When running CCR SA's price analysis, check to measure CCR SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CCR SA is operating at the current time. Most of CCR SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CCR SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CCR SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CCR SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.