Communication Cable Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CCSI Stock   260.00  16.00  5.80%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Communication Cable Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 252.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 344.44. Communication Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Communication Cable is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Communication Cable Systems value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Communication Cable Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Communication Cable Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 252.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.65, mean absolute percentage error of 73.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 344.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Communication Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Communication Cable's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Communication Cable Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Communication CableCommunication Cable Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Communication Cable Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Communication Cable's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Communication Cable's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 248.44 and 256.35, respectively. We have considered Communication Cable's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
260.00
248.44
Downside
252.39
Expected Value
256.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Communication Cable stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Communication Cable stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.4042
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.6466
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0218
SAESum of the absolute errors344.4441
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Communication Cable Systems. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Communication Cable. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Communication Cable

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Communication Cable. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
256.05260.00263.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
216.97220.92286.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
224.35256.08287.82
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Communication Cable

For every potential investor in Communication, whether a beginner or expert, Communication Cable's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Communication Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Communication. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Communication Cable's price trends.

Communication Cable Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Communication Cable stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Communication Cable could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Communication Cable by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Communication Cable Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Communication Cable's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Communication Cable's current price.

Communication Cable Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Communication Cable stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Communication Cable shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Communication Cable stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Communication Cable Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Communication Cable Risk Indicators

The analysis of Communication Cable's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Communication Cable's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting communication stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Communication Stock

Communication Cable financial ratios help investors to determine whether Communication Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Communication with respect to the benefits of owning Communication Cable security.