CITIC Telecom Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CCTTF Stock  USD 0.32  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CITIC Telecom International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. CITIC Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CITIC Telecom's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for CITIC Telecom - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When CITIC Telecom prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in CITIC Telecom price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of CITIC Telecom Intern.

CITIC Telecom Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CITIC Telecom International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CITIC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CITIC Telecom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CITIC Telecom Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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CITIC Telecom Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CITIC Telecom's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CITIC Telecom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.32 and 0.32, respectively. We have considered CITIC Telecom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.32
0.32
Expected Value
0.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CITIC Telecom pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CITIC Telecom pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past CITIC Telecom observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older CITIC Telecom International observations.

Predictive Modules for CITIC Telecom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CITIC Telecom Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CITIC Telecom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.320.320.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.270.270.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CITIC Telecom

For every potential investor in CITIC, whether a beginner or expert, CITIC Telecom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CITIC Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CITIC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CITIC Telecom's price trends.

CITIC Telecom Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CITIC Telecom pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CITIC Telecom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CITIC Telecom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CITIC Telecom Intern Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CITIC Telecom's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CITIC Telecom's current price.

CITIC Telecom Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CITIC Telecom pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CITIC Telecom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CITIC Telecom pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CITIC Telecom International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in CITIC Pink Sheet

CITIC Telecom financial ratios help investors to determine whether CITIC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CITIC with respect to the benefits of owning CITIC Telecom security.