Coeur DAlene Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CDAB Stock  USD 16.75  1.25  8.06%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Coeur dAlene Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 16.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.98. Coeur Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Coeur DAlene stock prices and determine the direction of Coeur dAlene Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Coeur DAlene's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Coeur DAlene is based on an artificially constructed time series of Coeur DAlene daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Coeur DAlene 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Coeur dAlene Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 16.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coeur Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coeur DAlene's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coeur DAlene Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Coeur DAlene Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coeur DAlene's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coeur DAlene's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.92 and 18.27, respectively. We have considered Coeur DAlene's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.75
16.59
Expected Value
18.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coeur DAlene pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coeur DAlene pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.3173
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1456
MADMean absolute deviation0.358
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0237
SAESum of the absolute errors18.9763
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Coeur dAlene Bancorp 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Coeur DAlene

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coeur dAlene Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.0716.7518.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2815.9617.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.7516.7516.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Coeur DAlene. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Coeur DAlene's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Coeur DAlene's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Coeur dAlene Bancorp.

Other Forecasting Options for Coeur DAlene

For every potential investor in Coeur, whether a beginner or expert, Coeur DAlene's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coeur Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coeur. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coeur DAlene's price trends.

Coeur DAlene Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coeur DAlene pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coeur DAlene could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coeur DAlene by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coeur dAlene Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Coeur DAlene's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Coeur DAlene's current price.

Coeur DAlene Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coeur DAlene pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coeur DAlene shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coeur DAlene pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Coeur dAlene Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coeur DAlene Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coeur DAlene's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coeur DAlene's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coeur pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Coeur Pink Sheet

Coeur DAlene financial ratios help investors to determine whether Coeur Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Coeur with respect to the benefits of owning Coeur DAlene security.