Coeur Mining Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CDE Stock | USD 20.44 4.13 16.81% |
Coeur Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Coeur Mining stock prices and determine the direction of Coeur Mining's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Coeur Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Coeur Mining's share price is at 51 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Coeur Mining, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.417 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.285 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9167 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.745 | Wall Street Target Price 24 |
Using Coeur Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coeur Mining from the perspective of Coeur Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Coeur Mining using Coeur Mining's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Coeur using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Coeur Mining's stock price.
Coeur Mining Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Coeur Mining's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Coeur. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Coeur Mining stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 13.6016 | Short Percent 0.1115 | Short Ratio 3.04 | Shares Short Prior Month 55.2 M | 50 Day MA 18.724 |
Coeur Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Coeur Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 23.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.18.Coeur Mining Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Coeur Mining's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Coeur. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Coeur can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Coeur Mining. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Coeur Mining's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Coeur Mining.
Coeur Mining Implied Volatility | 1.44 |
Coeur Mining's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Coeur Mining stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Coeur Mining's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Coeur Mining stock will not fluctuate a lot when Coeur Mining's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Coeur Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 23.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.18.
Coeur Mining after-hype prediction price | USD 21.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coeur Mining to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Coeur contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Coeur Mining will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.09% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Coeur Mining trading at USD 20.44, that is roughly USD 0.0184 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Coeur Mining's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Coeur Mining options at the current volatility level of 1.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Coeur Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Coeur Mining's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Coeur Mining's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Coeur Mining stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Coeur Mining's open interest, investors have to compare it to Coeur Mining's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Coeur Mining is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Coeur. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Coeur Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Coeur price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coeur using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coeur charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Coeur Mining Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Coeur Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 23.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 2.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coeur Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coeur Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Coeur Mining Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Coeur Mining | Coeur Mining Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Coeur Mining Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Coeur Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coeur Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.12 and 27.97, respectively. We have considered Coeur Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coeur Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coeur Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6695 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1319 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0609 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 70.1753 |
Predictive Modules for Coeur Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coeur Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coeur Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Coeur Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Coeur Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coeur Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coeur Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Coeur Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Coeur Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coeur Mining's historical news coverage. Coeur Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.55 and 26.41, respectively. We have considered Coeur Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Coeur Mining is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coeur Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Coeur Mining Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coeur Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coeur Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coeur Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 4.43 | 1.54 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.44 | 21.98 | 7.53 |
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Coeur Mining Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Coeur Mining is traded for 20.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Coeur is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 169.73%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 7.53%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Coeur Mining is about 2356.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.33. The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.24 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.33 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.33 of operating income. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coeur Mining to cross-verify your projections.Coeur Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Coeur Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coeur Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Coeur Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coeur Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HL | Hecla Mining | (0.32) | 9 per month | 2.99 | 0.25 | 8.95 | (5.78) | 18.66 | |
| HMY | Harmony Gold Mining | (0.52) | 12 per month | 2.89 | 0.15 | 6.39 | (5.83) | 15.03 | |
| RGLD | Royal Gold | (1.91) | 11 per month | 1.21 | 0.31 | 4.51 | (2.67) | 8.50 | |
| EQX | Equinox Gold Corp | (0.24) | 9 per month | 2.77 | 0.17 | 7.15 | (5.18) | 15.01 | |
| AA | Alcoa Corp | 1.42 | 5 per month | 2.44 | 0.20 | 6.40 | (4.96) | 14.55 | |
| IAG | IAMGold | (1.10) | 9 per month | 2.28 | 0.24 | 5.49 | (4.94) | 18.37 | |
| SBSW | Sibanye Gold Ltd | (0.24) | 8 per month | 3.02 | 0.25 | 6.94 | (5.35) | 18.48 | |
| NGD | New Gold | 0.07 | 11 per month | 2.35 | 0.25 | 7.41 | (4.09) | 19.38 | |
| AGI | Alamos Gold | 1.03 | 10 per month | 2.40 | 0.15 | 5.03 | (4.64) | 12.47 | |
| ICL | ICL Israel Chemicals | (0.07) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.38 | (3.62) | 18.38 |
Other Forecasting Options for Coeur Mining
For every potential investor in Coeur, whether a beginner or expert, Coeur Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coeur Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coeur. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coeur Mining's price trends.Coeur Mining Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coeur Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coeur Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coeur Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Coeur Mining Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coeur Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coeur Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coeur Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coeur Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Coeur Mining Risk Indicators
The analysis of Coeur Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coeur Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coeur stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.11 | |||
| Variance | 16.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.71) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Coeur Mining
The number of cover stories for Coeur Mining depends on current market conditions and Coeur Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coeur Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coeur Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Coeur Mining Short Properties
Coeur Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Coeur Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Coeur Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Coeur Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coeur Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 400.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 55.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coeur Mining to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Coeur Stock refer to our How to Trade Coeur Stock guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Coeur diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coeur Mining. Projected growth potential of Coeur fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Coeur Mining data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.417 | Earnings Share 0.71 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.769 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Coeur Mining requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Coeur's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Coeur Mining's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Coeur Mining's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Coeur Mining's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Coeur Mining should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Coeur Mining's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.