Quad Energy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CDID Stock | USD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Quad Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Quad Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Quad Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Quad Energy Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Quad Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of relative strength index of Quad Energy's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Quad Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Quad Energy Corp from the perspective of Quad Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Quad Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Quad Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 0.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Quad Energy to cross-verify your projections. Quad Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Quad price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Quad using various technical indicators. When you analyze Quad charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Quad Energy Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Quad Energy's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 0.0 | Current Value 0.0 | Quarterly Volatility 0.0 |
Quad Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Quad Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Quad Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Quad Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Quad Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Quad Energy | Quad Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Quad Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Quad Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Quad Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 0.02, respectively. We have considered Quad Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Quad Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Quad Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 41.8444 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Quad Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quad Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Quad Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Quad Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Quad Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Quad Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Quad Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Quad Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Quad Energy's historical news coverage. Quad Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 0.02, respectively. We have considered Quad Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Quad Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Quad Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Quad Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Quad Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Quad Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Quad Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
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Quad Energy Hype Timeline
Quad Energy Corp is currently traded for 0.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Quad is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Quad Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.09. Quad Energy Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:200 split on the 12th of March 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Quad Energy to cross-verify your projections.Quad Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Quad Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Quad Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Quad Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Quad Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DWOG | Deep Well Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HNTHF | High North Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IXOG | Index Oil and | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STSC | Start Scientific | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PGAS | Petrogress | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ABLE | Able Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| APVNF | ARISE Technologies | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FVSTA | Far Vista Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CYRS | Cheyenne Resources | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CPPXF | Continental Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Quad Energy
For every potential investor in Quad, whether a beginner or expert, Quad Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Quad Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Quad. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Quad Energy's price trends.Quad Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Quad Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Quad Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Quad Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Quad Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Quad Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Quad Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Quad Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Quad Energy Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Quad Energy
The number of cover stories for Quad Energy depends on current market conditions and Quad Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Quad Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Quad Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Quad Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Quad Energy. If investors know Quad will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Quad Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Quad Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Quad that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Quad Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Quad Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Quad Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Quad Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Quad Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Quad Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Quad Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.