Cadeler AS Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CDLR Stock | 21.68 0.12 0.56% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cadeler AS on the next trading day is expected to be 21.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.22. Cadeler Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Cadeler AS's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cadeler AS's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cadeler AS fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Cadeler AS's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.242 | Wall Street Target Price 29 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.915 |
Using Cadeler AS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cadeler AS from the perspective of Cadeler AS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Cadeler AS Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cadeler AS's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cadeler. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cadeler can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cadeler AS. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cadeler AS on the next trading day is expected to be 21.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.22.
Cadeler AS after-hype prediction price | USD 21.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cadeler AS to cross-verify your projections. Cadeler AS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cadeler price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cadeler using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cadeler charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cadeler AS Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cadeler AS on the next trading day is expected to be 21.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cadeler Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cadeler AS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cadeler AS Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cadeler AS | Cadeler AS Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cadeler AS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cadeler AS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cadeler AS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.16 and 24.20, respectively. We have considered Cadeler AS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cadeler AS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cadeler AS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7426 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0503 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3537 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.019 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.22 |
Predictive Modules for Cadeler AS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cadeler AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cadeler AS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cadeler AS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cadeler AS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cadeler AS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cadeler AS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cadeler AS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cadeler AS's historical news coverage. Cadeler AS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.31 and 24.35, respectively. We have considered Cadeler AS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cadeler AS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cadeler AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cadeler AS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cadeler AS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cadeler AS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cadeler AS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 2.52 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.68 | 21.83 | 0.69 |
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Cadeler AS Hype Timeline
Cadeler AS is currently traded for 21.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Cadeler is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.69%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Cadeler AS is about 10376.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.69. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 248.74 M. Net Income was 65.07 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 343.16 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cadeler AS to cross-verify your projections.Cadeler AS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cadeler AS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cadeler AS's future price movements. Getting to know how Cadeler AS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cadeler AS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CMRE | Costamare | 0.26 | 9 per month | 1.16 | 0.24 | 3.17 | (2.06) | 8.57 | |
| NMM | Navios Maritime Partners | (0.35) | 7 per month | 1.05 | 0.16 | 2.94 | (1.98) | 7.51 | |
| DAC | Danaos | 1.12 | 9 per month | 0.74 | 0.12 | 2.47 | (1.62) | 5.60 | |
| CMBT | CMBTECH NV | (0.32) | 9 per month | 1.80 | 0.09 | 4.58 | (3.24) | 13.21 | |
| ENR | Energizer Holdings | (0.1) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.63 | (4.01) | 22.15 | |
| ZIM | ZIM Integrated Shipping | (0.26) | 10 per month | 2.42 | 0.21 | 6.15 | (5.40) | 20.91 | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | (0.18) | 12 per month | 1.00 | 0.15 | 2.89 | (2.24) | 12.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cadeler AS
For every potential investor in Cadeler, whether a beginner or expert, Cadeler AS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cadeler Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cadeler. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cadeler AS's price trends.Cadeler AS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cadeler AS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cadeler AS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cadeler AS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cadeler AS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cadeler AS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cadeler AS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cadeler AS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cadeler AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cadeler AS Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cadeler AS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cadeler AS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cadeler stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Variance | 6.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cadeler AS
The number of cover stories for Cadeler AS depends on current market conditions and Cadeler AS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cadeler AS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cadeler AS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cadeler AS Short Properties
Cadeler AS's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cadeler AS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cadeler AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cadeler AS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cadeler AS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 86.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.5 M |
Additional Tools for Cadeler Stock Analysis
When running Cadeler AS's price analysis, check to measure Cadeler AS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cadeler AS is operating at the current time. Most of Cadeler AS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cadeler AS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cadeler AS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cadeler AS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.