Codere Online Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CDRO Stock  USD 7.30  0.29  4.14%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Codere Online Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 7.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.83. Codere Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Codere Online's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Codere Online's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Codere Online fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Codere Online's Receivables Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 2.10, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop (7.03). . As of the 22nd of November 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 31.4 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to grow to about (58.2 M).

Codere Online Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Codere Online's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
61.9 M
Current Value
37.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
29 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Codere Online is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Codere Online Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Codere Online Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Codere Online Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 7.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Codere Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Codere Online's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Codere Online Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Codere OnlineCodere Online Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Codere Online Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Codere Online's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Codere Online's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.41 and 9.39, respectively. We have considered Codere Online's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.30
7.40
Expected Value
9.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Codere Online stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Codere Online stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.9915
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1611
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0201
SAESum of the absolute errors9.8291
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Codere Online Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Codere Online. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Codere Online

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Codere Online Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.317.309.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.287.279.26
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.796.367.06
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Codere Online

For every potential investor in Codere, whether a beginner or expert, Codere Online's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Codere Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Codere. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Codere Online's price trends.

Codere Online Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Codere Online stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Codere Online could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Codere Online by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Codere Online Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Codere Online's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Codere Online's current price.

Codere Online Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Codere Online stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Codere Online shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Codere Online stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Codere Online Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Codere Online Risk Indicators

The analysis of Codere Online's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Codere Online's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting codere stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether Codere Online Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Codere Online's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Codere Online Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Codere Online Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Codere Online to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Codere Online. If investors know Codere will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Codere Online listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.71)
Revenue Per Share
3.083
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.456
Return On Assets
(0.32)
Return On Equity
(0.82)
The market value of Codere Online Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Codere that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Codere Online's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Codere Online's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Codere Online's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Codere Online's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Codere Online's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Codere Online is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Codere Online's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.