FRIWO AG Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| CEA Stock | EUR 7.20 0.55 8.27% |
FRIWO Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of FRIWO AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of FRIWO AG's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
Using FRIWO AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FRIWO AG from the perspective of FRIWO AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of FRIWO AG on the next trading day is expected to be 7.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.94. FRIWO AG after-hype prediction price | EUR 7.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FRIWO |
FRIWO AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FRIWO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FRIWO using various technical indicators. When you analyze FRIWO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FRIWO AG Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of FRIWO AG on the next trading day is expected to be 7.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 1.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FRIWO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FRIWO AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FRIWO AG Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FRIWO AG | FRIWO AG Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
FRIWO AG Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FRIWO AG's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FRIWO AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.07 and 31.41, respectively. We have considered FRIWO AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FRIWO AG stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FRIWO AG stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6809 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7695 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1114 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.9382 |
Predictive Modules for FRIWO AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FRIWO AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FRIWO AG After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FRIWO AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FRIWO AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FRIWO AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FRIWO AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FRIWO AG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FRIWO AG's historical news coverage. FRIWO AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.36 and 31.01, respectively. We have considered FRIWO AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FRIWO AG is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FRIWO AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
FRIWO AG Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FRIWO AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FRIWO AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FRIWO AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.30 | 23.81 | 0.00 | 17.02 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.20 | 7.20 | 0.00 |
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FRIWO AG Hype Timeline
FRIWO AG is currently traded for 7.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 17.02. FRIWO is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 2.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on FRIWO AG is about 321.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.22. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of May 2019. FRIWO AG had 10:1 split on the 1st of September 2000. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FRIWO AG to cross-verify your projections.FRIWO AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FRIWO AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FRIWO AG's future price movements. Getting to know how FRIWO AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FRIWO AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 94P | AUREA SA INH | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | 0.01 | 3.44 | (3.49) | 11.80 | |
| 8SP | Superior Plus Corp | (0.04) | 6 per month | 3.73 | (0.01) | 4.67 | (2.27) | 21.96 | |
| DVDG | Franklin Global Quality | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.32 | 0.17 | 1.00 | (0.65) | 3.06 | |
| INL | Intel | 74.22 | 7 per month | 4.12 | 0.08 | 8.76 | (5.60) | 24.14 | |
| VOW | Volkswagen AG | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.70 | 0.08 | 2.02 | (1.19) | 6.95 | |
| BTC1 | Bitwise Core Bitcoin | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.98 | (5.63) | 14.40 | |
| RRU | Rolls Royce Holdings plc | (0.26) | 7 per month | 2.00 | 0.06 | 3.53 | (3.25) | 9.23 | |
| RS6 | Reliance Steel Aluminum | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.79 | 0.19 | 3.18 | (1.57) | 5.55 | |
| 9K1 | NORDIC HALIBUT AS | (0.01) | 4 per month | 1.65 | 0.09 | 3.87 | (2.79) | 12.62 | |
| 3RKU | RYOHIN UNSPADR1 | 0.05 | 1 per month | 2.63 | 0.02 | 4.91 | (4.49) | 12.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for FRIWO AG
For every potential investor in FRIWO, whether a beginner or expert, FRIWO AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FRIWO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FRIWO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FRIWO AG's price trends.FRIWO AG Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FRIWO AG stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FRIWO AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FRIWO AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FRIWO AG Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FRIWO AG stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FRIWO AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FRIWO AG stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FRIWO AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.08 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.27 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.55 |
FRIWO AG Risk Indicators
The analysis of FRIWO AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FRIWO AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting friwo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 22.71 | |||
| Variance | 515.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 141.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 63.18 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (11.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FRIWO AG
The number of cover stories for FRIWO AG depends on current market conditions and FRIWO AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FRIWO AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FRIWO AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in FRIWO Stock
FRIWO AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether FRIWO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FRIWO with respect to the benefits of owning FRIWO AG security.