China Everbright Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

CEBCF Stock  USD 0.50  0.12  31.58%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of China Everbright Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.73. China Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Everbright's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of China Everbright's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China Everbright's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Everbright and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Everbright's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Everbright Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using China Everbright hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Everbright Bank from the perspective of China Everbright response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of China Everbright Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.73.

China Everbright after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of China Everbright to cross-verify your projections.

China Everbright Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through China Everbright price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

China Everbright Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of China Everbright Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Everbright's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

China Everbright Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest China EverbrightChina Everbright Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

China Everbright Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting China Everbright's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. China Everbright's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.32, respectively. We have considered China Everbright's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.50
0.48
Expected Value
5.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Everbright pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Everbright pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.5511
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.012
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0276
SAESum of the absolute errors0.7314
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as China Everbright Bank historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for China Everbright

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Everbright Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Everbright's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.565.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.415.25
Details

China Everbright After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of China Everbright at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Everbright or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Everbright, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

China Everbright Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting China Everbright's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Everbright's historical news coverage. China Everbright's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 5.40, respectively. We have considered China Everbright's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.50
0.56
After-hype Price
5.40
Upside
China Everbright is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Everbright Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.

China Everbright Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Everbright is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Everbright backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Everbright, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
4.84
  0.06 
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.50
0.56
12.00 
2,689  
Notes

China Everbright Hype Timeline

China Everbright Bank is currently traded for 0.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. China is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.56 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 12.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on China Everbright is about 16133.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.51. China Everbright Bank has accumulated 1.31 T in total debt. Debt can assist China Everbright until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, China Everbright's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like China Everbright Bank sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about China Everbright's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of China Everbright to cross-verify your projections.

China Everbright Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China Everbright's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Everbright's future price movements. Getting to know how China Everbright's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Everbright may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BKHPFBank Hapoalim BM(0.12)20 per month 0.00  0.13  3.94  0.00  10.23 
BKHYYBank Hapoalim ADR 0.00 0 per month 1.52  0.17  3.29 (2.53) 10.80 
PPERYBank Mandiri Persero 0.18 16 per month 1.13  0.14  3.35 (2.42) 10.57 
PSZKFPowszechna Kasa Oszczednosci 0.00 0 per month 2.05  0.06  6.01 (2.69) 20.34 
CGMBFChina Minsheng Banking 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  22.58 (11.11) 36.11 
CMAKYChina Minsh 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 6.30 (7.49) 26.06 
JPPHYJapan Post Holdings 0.18 4 per month 0.00  0.05  4.78 (2.95) 16.94 
MLYBYMalayan Banking Berhad 0.18 8 per month 4.35  0.03  8.40 (9.01) 25.87 
GBOOYGrupo Financiero Banorte 0.00 0 per month 1.27  0.08  3.47 (2.40) 13.52 
PSZKYPowszechna Kasa Oszczednosci(0.12)20 per month 3.25  0.1  6.62 (5.62) 21.44 

Other Forecasting Options for China Everbright

For every potential investor in China, whether a beginner or expert, China Everbright's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. China Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in China. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying China Everbright's price trends.

China Everbright Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Everbright pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Everbright could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Everbright by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

China Everbright Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Everbright pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Everbright shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Everbright pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Everbright Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

China Everbright Risk Indicators

The analysis of China Everbright's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in China Everbright's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting china pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for China Everbright

The number of cover stories for China Everbright depends on current market conditions and China Everbright's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Everbright is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Everbright's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet

China Everbright financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Everbright security.