Companhia Energtica Preferred Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

CEBR5 Preferred Stock  BRL 29.00  0.00  0.00%   
Companhia Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Companhia Energtica's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the preferred stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Companhia, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 74

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Companhia Energtica's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Companhia Energtica and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Companhia Energtica's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Companhia Energtica de, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Companhia Energtica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Companhia Energtica de from the perspective of Companhia Energtica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Companhia Energtica de on the next trading day is expected to be 29.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.26.

Companhia Energtica after-hype prediction price

    
  BRL 29.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Companhia Energtica to cross-verify your projections.

Companhia Energtica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Companhia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Companhia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Companhia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Companhia Energtica price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Companhia Energtica Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Companhia Energtica de on the next trading day is expected to be 29.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Companhia Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Companhia Energtica's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Companhia Energtica Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Companhia Energtica  Companhia Energtica Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Companhia Energtica Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Companhia Energtica's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Companhia Energtica's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.26 and 31.07, respectively. We have considered Companhia Energtica's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.00
29.17
Expected Value
31.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Companhia Energtica preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Companhia Energtica preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8457
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3976
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0155
SAESum of the absolute errors24.2564
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Companhia Energtica de historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Companhia Energtica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Companhia Energtica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.1029.0030.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.1032.5634.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Companhia Energtica. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Companhia Energtica's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Companhia Energtica's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Companhia Energtica.

Companhia Energtica After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Companhia Energtica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Companhia Energtica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Companhia Energtica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Companhia Energtica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Companhia Energtica's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Companhia Energtica's historical news coverage. Companhia Energtica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.10 and 30.90, respectively. We have considered Companhia Energtica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
29.00
29.00
After-hype Price
30.90
Upside
Companhia Energtica is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Companhia Energtica is based on 3 months time horizon.

Companhia Energtica Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Companhia Energtica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Companhia Energtica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Companhia Energtica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
1.90
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.00
29.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Companhia Energtica Hype Timeline

Companhia Energtica is currently traded for 29.00on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Companhia is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Companhia Energtica is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.00. About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.85. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Companhia Energtica last dividend was issued on the 28th of April 2022. The entity had 5:1 split on the 18th of October 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Companhia Energtica to cross-verify your projections.

Companhia Energtica Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Companhia Energtica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Companhia Energtica's future price movements. Getting to know how Companhia Energtica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Companhia Energtica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
COCE5Companhia Energtica do 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.51 (3.02) 10.25 
LIGT3Light SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.26 (5.68) 12.99 
COCE3Companhia Energtica do 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  1.56  0.00  38.63 
CLSC3Centrais Eltricas de 0.00 0 per month 1.56  0.12  7.66 (3.64) 25.51 
CLSC4Centrais Eltricas de 0.00 0 per month 0.81  0.31  2.40 (1.57) 8.13 
GEPA3Rio Paranapanema Energia 0.00 0 per month 6.67  0.03  21.12 (16.21) 42.86 
GEPA4Rio Paranapanema Energia 0.00 0 per month 3.56  0.07  16.11 (8.30) 32.59 
EMAE4Empresa Metropolitana de 0.00 0 per month 2.20  0.11  5.09 (3.36) 13.94 
EQMA3BEquatorial Maranho Distribuidora 0.00 0 per month 1.98 (0.01) 3.23 (4.21) 15.63 

Other Forecasting Options for Companhia Energtica

For every potential investor in Companhia, whether a beginner or expert, Companhia Energtica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Companhia Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Companhia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Companhia Energtica's price trends.

Companhia Energtica Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Companhia Energtica preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Companhia Energtica could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Companhia Energtica by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Companhia Energtica Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Companhia Energtica preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Companhia Energtica shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Companhia Energtica preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Companhia Energtica de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Companhia Energtica Risk Indicators

The analysis of Companhia Energtica's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Companhia Energtica's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting companhia preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Companhia Energtica

The number of cover stories for Companhia Energtica depends on current market conditions and Companhia Energtica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Companhia Energtica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Companhia Energtica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Companhia Energtica Short Properties

Companhia Energtica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Companhia Energtica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Companhia Energtica de often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Companhia Energtica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Companhia Energtica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments714.8 M

Additional Tools for Companhia Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Companhia Energtica's price analysis, check to measure Companhia Energtica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Companhia Energtica is operating at the current time. Most of Companhia Energtica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Companhia Energtica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Companhia Energtica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Companhia Energtica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.