Enel Generacion Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CECO2 Stock | ARS 469.00 6.00 1.30% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Enel Generacion Costanera on the next trading day is expected to be 469.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 625.00. Enel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Enel Generacion stock prices and determine the direction of Enel Generacion Costanera's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Enel Generacion's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The value of RSI of Enel Generacion's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Enel Generacion, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Enel Generacion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enel Generacion Costanera from the perspective of Enel Generacion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Enel Generacion Costanera on the next trading day is expected to be 469.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 625.00. Enel Generacion after-hype prediction price | ARS 469.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Enel |
Enel Generacion Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Enel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Enel Generacion Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Enel Generacion Costanera on the next trading day is expected to be 469.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.42, mean absolute percentage error of 178.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 625.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enel Generacion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Enel Generacion Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Enel Generacion | Enel Generacion Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Enel Generacion Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Enel Generacion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enel Generacion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 466.65 and 471.35, respectively. We have considered Enel Generacion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enel Generacion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enel Generacion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.4576 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.95 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 10.4167 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0214 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 625.0 |
Predictive Modules for Enel Generacion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enel Generacion Costanera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Enel Generacion After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Enel Generacion at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Enel Generacion or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Enel Generacion, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Enel Generacion Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Enel Generacion's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Enel Generacion's historical news coverage. Enel Generacion's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 466.27 and 471.73, respectively. We have considered Enel Generacion's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Enel Generacion is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Enel Generacion Costanera is based on 3 months time horizon.
Enel Generacion Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Enel Generacion is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enel Generacion backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enel Generacion, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
469.00 | 469.00 | 0.00 |
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Enel Generacion Hype Timeline
Enel Generacion Costanera is currently traded for 469.00on Buenos Aires Exchange of Argentina. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Enel is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Enel Generacion is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 469.00. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Enel Generacion was currently reported as 44.0. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.07. Enel Generacion Costanera last dividend was issued on the 8th of May 2019. The entity had 3978:2705 split on the 1st of November 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enel Generacion to cross-verify your projections.Enel Generacion Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Enel Generacion's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Enel Generacion's future price movements. Getting to know how Enel Generacion's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Enel Generacion may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TECO2 | Telecom Argentina | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | 0.16 | 6.71 | (3.83) | 33.49 | |
| TGSU2 | Transportadora de Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.1 | 4.21 | (3.01) | 30.63 | |
| HD | Home Depot CEDEAR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.91 | (3.64) | 7.31 | |
| VZ | Verizon Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.10 | (2.74) | 8.02 | |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.34 | (5.43) | 17.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Enel Generacion
For every potential investor in Enel, whether a beginner or expert, Enel Generacion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enel Generacion's price trends.Enel Generacion Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enel Generacion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enel Generacion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enel Generacion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Enel Generacion Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enel Generacion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enel Generacion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enel Generacion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Enel Generacion Costanera entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Enel Generacion Risk Indicators
The analysis of Enel Generacion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enel Generacion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Variance | 7.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.21 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Enel Generacion
The number of cover stories for Enel Generacion depends on current market conditions and Enel Generacion's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Enel Generacion is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Enel Generacion's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Enel Stock
Enel Generacion financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enel with respect to the benefits of owning Enel Generacion security.