Creative Medical Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CELZ Stock | USD 2.25 0.30 15.38% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Creative Medical Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 1.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.81. Creative Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Creative Medical's share price is approaching 42 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Creative Medical, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Creative Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Creative Medical Technology from the perspective of Creative Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Creative Medical Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 1.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.81. Creative Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 2.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Creative Medical to cross-verify your projections. Creative Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Creative price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Creative using various technical indicators. When you analyze Creative charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Creative Medical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Creative Medical Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 1.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Creative Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Creative Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Creative Medical Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Creative Medical | Creative Medical Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Creative Medical Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Creative Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Creative Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.67, respectively. We have considered Creative Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Creative Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Creative Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4997 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1936 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0713 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.8083 |
Predictive Modules for Creative Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Creative Medical Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Creative Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Creative Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Creative Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Creative Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Creative Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Creative Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Creative Medical's historical news coverage. Creative Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 9.28, respectively. We have considered Creative Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Creative Medical is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Creative Medical Tec is based on 3 months time horizon.
Creative Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Creative Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Creative Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Creative Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.99 | 7.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.25 | 2.25 | 0.00 |
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Creative Medical Hype Timeline
Creative Medical Tec is currently traded for 2.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Creative is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.99%. %. The volatility of related hype on Creative Medical is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.25. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Creative Medical Tec recorded a loss per share of 2.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of February 2020. The firm had 1:10 split on the 12th of June 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Creative Medical to cross-verify your projections.Creative Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Creative Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Creative Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Creative Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Creative Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCDA | Biocardia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.93 | (5.76) | 21.46 | |
| ACXP | Acurx Pharmaceuticals LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 10.84 | (9.84) | 49.19 | |
| APRE | Aprea Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.40 | (8.11) | 17.87 | |
| HCWB | HCW Biologics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 13.02 | (11.97) | 41.72 | |
| ADIL | Adial Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 5.56 | (6.25) | 16.67 | |
| ALZN | Alzamend Neuro | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.10 | (5.33) | 20.82 | |
| KPRX | Kiora Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.44 | (5.58) | 16.69 | |
| CDIO | Cardio Diagnostics Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 8.44 | (12.50) | 38.04 | |
| PHIO | Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 4.88 | (9.27) | 19.15 | |
| ADXN | Addex Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.85 | (7.12) | 25.13 |
Other Forecasting Options for Creative Medical
For every potential investor in Creative, whether a beginner or expert, Creative Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Creative Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Creative. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Creative Medical's price trends.Creative Medical Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Creative Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Creative Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Creative Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Creative Medical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Creative Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Creative Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Creative Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Creative Medical Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Creative Medical Risk Indicators
The analysis of Creative Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Creative Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting creative stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.03 | |||
| Variance | 49.35 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Creative Medical
The number of cover stories for Creative Medical depends on current market conditions and Creative Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Creative Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Creative Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Creative Medical Short Properties
Creative Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Creative Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Creative Medical Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Creative Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Creative Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 M |
Additional Tools for Creative Stock Analysis
When running Creative Medical's price analysis, check to measure Creative Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Creative Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Creative Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Creative Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Creative Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Creative Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.