Centric Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CENTR Stock  EUR 0.33  0.01  2.94%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centric Holdings SA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11. Centric Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Centric Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Centric Holdings SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Centric Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Centric Holdings simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Centric Holdings SA are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Centric Holdings prices get older.

Centric Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centric Holdings SA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000014, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Centric Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Centric Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Centric Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Centric Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Centric Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Centric Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 1.65, respectively. We have considered Centric Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.33
0.33
Expected Value
1.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Centric Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Centric Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.0818
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 7.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0018
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0054
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1098
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Centric Holdings SA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Centric Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Centric Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centric Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.331.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.281.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Centric Holdings

For every potential investor in Centric, whether a beginner or expert, Centric Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Centric Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Centric. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Centric Holdings' price trends.

Centric Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Centric Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Centric Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Centric Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Centric Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Centric Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Centric Holdings' current price.

Centric Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Centric Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Centric Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Centric Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Centric Holdings SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Centric Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Centric Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Centric Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting centric stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Centric Stock

Centric Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Centric Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Centric with respect to the benefits of owning Centric Holdings security.