Central Puerto Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CEPU Stock | ARS 1,560 15.00 0.97% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Central Puerto SA on the next trading day is expected to be 1,590 with a mean absolute deviation of 23.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,446. Central Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Central Puerto stock prices and determine the direction of Central Puerto SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Central Puerto's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Central |
Central Puerto Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Central Puerto SA on the next trading day is expected to be 1,590 with a mean absolute deviation of 23.70, mean absolute percentage error of 868.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,446.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Central Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Central Puerto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Central Puerto Stock Forecast Pattern
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Central Puerto Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Central Puerto's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Central Puerto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,587 and 1,592, respectively. We have considered Central Puerto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Central Puerto stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Central Puerto stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.8775 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 23.7037 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0184 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1445.9234 |
Predictive Modules for Central Puerto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Puerto SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Central Puerto
For every potential investor in Central, whether a beginner or expert, Central Puerto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Central Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Central. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Central Puerto's price trends.Central Puerto Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Central Puerto stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Central Puerto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Central Puerto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Central Puerto SA Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Central Puerto's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Central Puerto's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Central Puerto Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Central Puerto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Central Puerto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Central Puerto stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Central Puerto SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Central Puerto Risk Indicators
The analysis of Central Puerto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Central Puerto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting central stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Variance | 6.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.21 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Central Stock
When determining whether Central Puerto SA is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Central Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Central Puerto Sa Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Central Puerto Sa Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Puerto to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.