Corfacts Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CFCC Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Corfacts on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Corfacts Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Corfacts stock prices and determine the direction of Corfacts's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Corfacts' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Corfacts' Other Current Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Intangible Assets is expected to grow to about 217.3 K, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 3.4 M.

Corfacts Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Corfacts' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
285.4 K
Current Value
271.2 K
Quarterly Volatility
231.2 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Corfacts is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Corfacts value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Corfacts Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Corfacts on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Corfacts Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Corfacts' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Corfacts Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CorfactsCorfacts Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Corfacts Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Corfacts' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Corfacts' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Corfacts' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Corfacts stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Corfacts stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Corfacts. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Corfacts. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Corfacts

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corfacts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Corfacts' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Corfacts

For every potential investor in Corfacts, whether a beginner or expert, Corfacts' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Corfacts Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Corfacts. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Corfacts' price trends.

Corfacts Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Corfacts stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Corfacts could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Corfacts by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Corfacts Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Corfacts' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Corfacts' current price.

Corfacts Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Corfacts stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Corfacts shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Corfacts stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Corfacts entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Corfacts offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Corfacts' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Corfacts Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Corfacts Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Corfacts to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Corfacts Stock refer to our How to Trade Corfacts Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Advertising (discontinued effective close of September 28, 2018) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Corfacts. If investors know Corfacts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Corfacts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
0.854
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
(0.19)
Return On Equity
(0.76)
The market value of Corfacts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Corfacts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Corfacts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Corfacts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Corfacts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Corfacts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Corfacts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Corfacts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Corfacts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.