Cofinimmo SANV Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CFMOF Stock  USD 93.83  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cofinimmo SANV on the next trading day is expected to be 82.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 180.50. Cofinimmo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cofinimmo SANV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Cofinimmo SANV's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cofinimmo SANV's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cofinimmo SANV and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cofinimmo SANV's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cofinimmo SANV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Cofinimmo SANV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cofinimmo SANV from the perspective of Cofinimmo SANV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cofinimmo SANV on the next trading day is expected to be 82.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 180.50.

Cofinimmo SANV after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 93.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cofinimmo SANV to cross-verify your projections.

Cofinimmo SANV Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cofinimmo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cofinimmo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cofinimmo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Cofinimmo SANV is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cofinimmo SANV value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cofinimmo SANV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cofinimmo SANV on the next trading day is expected to be 82.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.96, mean absolute percentage error of 21.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 180.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cofinimmo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cofinimmo SANV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cofinimmo SANV Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cofinimmo SANVCofinimmo SANV Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cofinimmo SANV Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cofinimmo SANV's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cofinimmo SANV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 76.18 and 88.19, respectively. We have considered Cofinimmo SANV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
93.83
82.18
Expected Value
88.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cofinimmo SANV pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cofinimmo SANV pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.1626
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.959
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0391
SAESum of the absolute errors180.4984
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cofinimmo SANV. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cofinimmo SANV. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cofinimmo SANV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cofinimmo SANV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.8793.8399.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.45101.38107.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
61.4986.86112.23
Details

Cofinimmo SANV After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cofinimmo SANV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cofinimmo SANV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Cofinimmo SANV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cofinimmo SANV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cofinimmo SANV's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cofinimmo SANV's historical news coverage. Cofinimmo SANV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.87 and 99.79, respectively. We have considered Cofinimmo SANV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
93.83
93.83
After-hype Price
99.79
Upside
Cofinimmo SANV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cofinimmo SANV is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cofinimmo SANV Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cofinimmo SANV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cofinimmo SANV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cofinimmo SANV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.80 
6.01
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
93.83
93.83
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Cofinimmo SANV Hype Timeline

Cofinimmo SANV is currently traded for 93.83. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cofinimmo is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.8%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cofinimmo SANV is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.83. About 30.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cofinimmo SANV recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of May 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cofinimmo SANV to cross-verify your projections.

Cofinimmo SANV Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cofinimmo SANV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cofinimmo SANV's future price movements. Getting to know how Cofinimmo SANV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cofinimmo SANV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NIPPFNippon Accommodations 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GWWTFGrowthpoint Properties Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PTPKFPT Pakuwon Jati 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  2,439 
AMLLFAEON Mall Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.38  36.59 (23.44) 60.03 
BSPDYBumi Serpong Damai 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SHABFShaftesbury PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CGSHYCountry Garden Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GRFFFFibra Danhos 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EGRNYChina Evergrande Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WRMKWatermark Lodging Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Cofinimmo SANV

For every potential investor in Cofinimmo, whether a beginner or expert, Cofinimmo SANV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cofinimmo Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cofinimmo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cofinimmo SANV's price trends.

Cofinimmo SANV Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cofinimmo SANV pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cofinimmo SANV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cofinimmo SANV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cofinimmo SANV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cofinimmo SANV pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cofinimmo SANV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cofinimmo SANV pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Cofinimmo SANV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cofinimmo SANV Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cofinimmo SANV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cofinimmo SANV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cofinimmo pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cofinimmo SANV

The number of cover stories for Cofinimmo SANV depends on current market conditions and Cofinimmo SANV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cofinimmo SANV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cofinimmo SANV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Cofinimmo Pink Sheet

Cofinimmo SANV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cofinimmo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cofinimmo with respect to the benefits of owning Cofinimmo SANV security.