Column Mid Mutual Fund Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| CFMSX Fund | 12.31 0.07 0.57% |
Column Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Column Mid's share price is at 58 suggesting that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Column Mid, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Column Mid hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Column Mid Cap from the perspective of Column Mid response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Column Mid Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 12.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.84. Column Mid after-hype prediction price | USD 12.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Column |
Column Mid Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Column price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Column using various technical indicators. When you analyze Column charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Column Mid 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Column Mid Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 12.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Column Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Column Mid's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Column Mid Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Column Mid | Column Mid Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Column Mid Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Column Mid's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Column Mid's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.50 and 13.22, respectively. We have considered Column Mid's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Column Mid mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Column Mid mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 80.6744 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2543 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2581 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0214 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.841 |
Predictive Modules for Column Mid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Column Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Column Mid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Column Mid After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Column Mid at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Column Mid or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Column Mid, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Column Mid Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Column Mid's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Column Mid's historical news coverage. Column Mid's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.43 and 13.15, respectively. We have considered Column Mid's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Column Mid is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Column Mid Cap is based on 3 months time horizon.
Column Mid Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Column Mid is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Column Mid backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Column Mid, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 0.86 | 0.02 | 0.14 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.31 | 12.29 | 0.16 |
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Column Mid Hype Timeline
Column Mid Cap is currently traded for 12.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. Column is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.29. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Column Mid is about 84.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.17. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Column Mid to cross-verify your projections.Column Mid Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Column Mid's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Column Mid's future price movements. Getting to know how Column Mid's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Column Mid may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PHDTX | Pace High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.22 | (0.22) | 3.01 | |
| APDFX | Artisan High Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.11 | (0.11) | 0.88 | |
| MWHIX | Metropolitan West High | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.22 | (0.22) | 1.09 | |
| BCHIX | California High Yield Municipal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 0.21 | (0.10) | 0.83 | |
| CBSYX | Ab Global Risk | (8.65) | 1 per month | 0.39 | 0.04 | 0.82 | (0.88) | 5.72 | |
| AGDAX | Ab High Income | 1.50 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.28 | (0.14) | 0.86 | |
| VTWNX | Vanguard Target Retirement | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.24 | (0.12) | 0.44 | (0.47) | 1.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Column Mid
For every potential investor in Column, whether a beginner or expert, Column Mid's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Column Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Column. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Column Mid's price trends.Column Mid Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Column Mid mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Column Mid could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Column Mid by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Column Mid Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Column Mid mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Column Mid shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Column Mid mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Column Mid Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.47 |
Column Mid Risk Indicators
The analysis of Column Mid's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Column Mid's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting column mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6356 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5882 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8445 | |||
| Variance | 0.7132 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5657 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.346 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Column Mid
The number of cover stories for Column Mid depends on current market conditions and Column Mid's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Column Mid is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Column Mid's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Other Information on Investing in Column Mutual Fund
Column Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Column Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Column with respect to the benefits of owning Column Mid security.
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