CullenFrost Bankers Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CFR Stock | USD 138.77 3.58 2.65% |
CullenFrost Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of CullenFrost Bankers' stock price is slightly above 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CullenFrost, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CullenFrost Bankers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CullenFrost Bankers from the perspective of CullenFrost Bankers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CullenFrost Bankers on the next trading day is expected to be 139.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.20. CullenFrost Bankers after-hype prediction price | USD 138.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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CullenFrost Bankers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CullenFrost price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CullenFrost using various technical indicators. When you analyze CullenFrost charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CullenFrost Bankers Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CullenFrost Bankers on the next trading day is expected to be 139.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95, mean absolute percentage error of 6.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CullenFrost Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CullenFrost Bankers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CullenFrost Bankers Stock Forecast Pattern
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CullenFrost Bankers Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CullenFrost Bankers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CullenFrost Bankers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 137.79 and 140.58, respectively. We have considered CullenFrost Bankers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CullenFrost Bankers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CullenFrost Bankers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.9026 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.9542 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0152 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 119.2036 |
Predictive Modules for CullenFrost Bankers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CullenFrost Bankers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CullenFrost Bankers After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CullenFrost Bankers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CullenFrost Bankers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CullenFrost Bankers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CullenFrost Bankers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CullenFrost Bankers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CullenFrost Bankers' historical news coverage. CullenFrost Bankers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 137.37 and 140.17, respectively. We have considered CullenFrost Bankers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CullenFrost Bankers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CullenFrost Bankers is based on 3 months time horizon.
CullenFrost Bankers Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CullenFrost Bankers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CullenFrost Bankers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CullenFrost Bankers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
138.77 | 138.77 | 0.00 |
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CullenFrost Bankers Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January CullenFrost Bankers is traded for 138.77. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CullenFrost is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on CullenFrost Bankers is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 138.77. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CullenFrost Bankers was currently reported as 67.64. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.4. CullenFrost Bankers recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.92. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 23rd of June 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CullenFrost Bankers to cross-verify your projections.CullenFrost Bankers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CullenFrost Bankers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CullenFrost Bankers' future price movements. Getting to know how CullenFrost Bankers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CullenFrost Bankers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ONB | Old National Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.15 | 2.93 | (1.59) | 7.78 | |
| UMBF | UMB Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.13 | 3.61 | (1.46) | 6.43 | |
| BPOP | Popular | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.14 | 2.90 | (2.08) | 6.73 | |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.17 | 0.04 | 2.40 | (2.03) | 6.30 | |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.13 | 2.58 | (1.58) | 8.08 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | 0.12 | 3.88 | (2.94) | 10.08 | |
| WTFC | Wintrust Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.12 | 2.62 | (1.57) | 8.80 | |
| CADE | Cadence Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | 0.10 | 3.30 | (2.18) | 10.35 | |
| BOKF | BOK Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | 0.22 | 3.17 | (1.22) | 7.41 | |
| PNFP | Pinnacle Financial Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | 0.07 | 2.99 | (2.01) | 8.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for CullenFrost Bankers
For every potential investor in CullenFrost, whether a beginner or expert, CullenFrost Bankers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CullenFrost Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CullenFrost. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CullenFrost Bankers' price trends.CullenFrost Bankers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CullenFrost Bankers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CullenFrost Bankers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CullenFrost Bankers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CullenFrost Bankers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CullenFrost Bankers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CullenFrost Bankers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CullenFrost Bankers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CullenFrost Bankers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CullenFrost Bankers Risk Indicators
The analysis of CullenFrost Bankers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CullenFrost Bankers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cullenfrost stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7412 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9965 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5494 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CullenFrost Bankers
The number of cover stories for CullenFrost Bankers depends on current market conditions and CullenFrost Bankers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CullenFrost Bankers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CullenFrost Bankers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CullenFrost Bankers Short Properties
CullenFrost Bankers' future price predictability will typically decrease when CullenFrost Bankers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CullenFrost Bankers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CullenFrost Bankers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CullenFrost Bankers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.3 B |
Additional Tools for CullenFrost Stock Analysis
When running CullenFrost Bankers' price analysis, check to measure CullenFrost Bankers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CullenFrost Bankers is operating at the current time. Most of CullenFrost Bankers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CullenFrost Bankers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CullenFrost Bankers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CullenFrost Bankers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.