Coca-Cola FEMSA Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

CFSL Stock  EUR 95.00  0.50  0.53%   
Coca-Cola Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Coca-Cola FEMSA's stock price is roughly 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 23rd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Coca-Cola, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Coca-Cola FEMSA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Coca-Cola FEMSA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Coca-Cola FEMSA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Coca Cola FEMSA SAB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Coca-Cola FEMSA's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.008
Wall Street Target Price
62.31
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.033
Using Coca-Cola FEMSA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coca Cola FEMSA SAB from the perspective of Coca-Cola FEMSA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Coca Cola FEMSA SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 95.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.57.

Coca-Cola FEMSA after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 95.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA to cross-verify your projections.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Coca-Cola price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coca-Cola using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coca-Cola charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Coca-Cola FEMSA price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Coca Cola FEMSA SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 95.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.11, mean absolute percentage error of 2.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coca-Cola Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coca-Cola FEMSA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coca-Cola FEMSA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Coca-Cola FEMSA  Coca-Cola FEMSA Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Coca-Cola FEMSA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coca-Cola FEMSA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coca-Cola FEMSA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.99 and 97.37, respectively. We have considered Coca-Cola FEMSA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
95.00
95.68
Expected Value
97.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coca-Cola FEMSA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coca-Cola FEMSA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.805
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1077
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0132
SAESum of the absolute errors67.5726
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Coca Cola FEMSA SAB historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Coca-Cola FEMSA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola FEMSA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.9795.6697.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.4778.16104.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
81.5594.55107.55
Details

Coca-Cola FEMSA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Coca-Cola FEMSA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coca-Cola FEMSA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coca-Cola FEMSA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Coca-Cola FEMSA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Coca-Cola FEMSA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coca-Cola FEMSA's historical news coverage. Coca-Cola FEMSA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.97 and 97.35, respectively. We have considered Coca-Cola FEMSA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
95.00
95.66
After-hype Price
97.35
Upside
Coca-Cola FEMSA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coca Cola FEMSA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coca-Cola FEMSA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coca-Cola FEMSA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coca-Cola FEMSA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.44 
1.69
  0.66 
  2.85 
5 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
95.00
95.66
0.69 
112.67  
Notes

Coca-Cola FEMSA Hype Timeline

Coca Cola FEMSA is currently traded for 95.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.66, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.85. Coca-Cola is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 95.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 112.67%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.69%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Coca-Cola FEMSA is about 26.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 92.15. The company reported the revenue of 279.79 B. Net Income was 23.73 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 132.7 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA to cross-verify your projections.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Coca-Cola FEMSA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coca-Cola FEMSA's future price movements. Getting to know how Coca-Cola FEMSA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coca-Cola FEMSA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SK3Smurfit Kappa Group 0.00 4 per month 1.01  0.04  1.99 (2.03) 8.61 
SK3Smurfit Kappa Group 0.20 2 per month 1.36  0.20  4.68 (2.75) 15.62 
1I8KIBO ENERGY PLC 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
O08HPQ SILICON INC 0.01 6 per month 5.71  0.03  18.18 (12.73) 41.56 
MTOMETTLER TOLEDO INTL(49.00)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.01 (2.26) 7.25 
MTOMETTLER TOLEDO INTL(6.00)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.54 (2.35) 7.35 
MTOMettler Toledo International(10.00)7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.11 (2.48) 7.34 
DC3ADIAMCOR MINING INC 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
3EJLODESTAR MIN 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
7UPCLABO SPA 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Coca-Cola FEMSA

For every potential investor in Coca-Cola, whether a beginner or expert, Coca-Cola FEMSA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coca-Cola Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coca-Cola. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coca-Cola FEMSA's price trends.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coca-Cola FEMSA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coca-Cola FEMSA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coca-Cola FEMSA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coca-Cola FEMSA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coca-Cola FEMSA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coca-Cola FEMSA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coca Cola FEMSA SAB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coca-Cola FEMSA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coca-cola stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Coca-Cola FEMSA

The number of cover stories for Coca-Cola FEMSA depends on current market conditions and Coca-Cola FEMSA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coca-Cola FEMSA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coca-Cola FEMSA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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When determining whether Coca Cola FEMSA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Coca-Cola FEMSA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Coca-Cola FEMSA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Coca-Cola Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
It's important to distinguish between Coca-Cola FEMSA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Coca-Cola FEMSA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Coca-Cola FEMSA's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.