Capital One Stock Forward View
| CFX Stock | 174.00 14.00 7.45% |
Capital Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Capital One's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Capital One hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capital One Financial from the perspective of Capital One response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Capital One Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 176.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 245.66. Capital One after-hype prediction price | EUR 173.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Capital |
Capital One Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Capital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Capital One Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Capital One Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 176.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.03, mean absolute percentage error of 23.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 245.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Capital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Capital One's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Capital One Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Capital One | Capital One Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Capital One Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Capital One's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Capital One's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 174.40 and 179.38, respectively. We have considered Capital One's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capital One stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capital One stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.2598 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.0272 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0208 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 245.6607 |
Predictive Modules for Capital One
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital One Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital One's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Capital One After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Capital One at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capital One or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capital One, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Capital One Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Capital One's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capital One's historical news coverage. Capital One's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 171.17 and 176.35, respectively. We have considered Capital One's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Capital One is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capital One Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Capital One Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capital One is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capital One backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capital One, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.49 | 0.36 | 0.06 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
174.00 | 173.76 | 0.14 |
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Capital One Hype Timeline
Capital One Financial is currently traded for 174.00on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Capital is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 173.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 41.5%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Capital One is about 263.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 173.94. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.14. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Capital One Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.48. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital One to cross-verify your projections.Capital One Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Capital One's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capital One's future price movements. Getting to know how Capital One's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capital One may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABL | Abbott Laboratories | (0.90) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.91 | (2.11) | 14.56 | |
| DAP | DANAHER | (0.54) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.14 | (2.62) | 7.27 | |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | (6.22) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.33 | (5.57) | 24.55 | |
| 4I1 | Philip Morris International | 0.44 | 3 per month | 1.19 | 0.16 | 2.89 | (2.55) | 7.67 | |
| AMG | Amgen Inc | 1.54 | 10 per month | 1.57 | 0.08 | 3.98 | (2.86) | 10.70 | |
| HK2C | Hong Kong Exchanges | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.49 | (1.47) | 5.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Capital One
For every potential investor in Capital, whether a beginner or expert, Capital One's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capital One's price trends.Capital One Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Capital One stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Capital One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capital One by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Capital One Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Capital One stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Capital One shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Capital One stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Capital One Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0171 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (4.67) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 173.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 173.67 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (6.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (14.00) |
Capital One Risk Indicators
The analysis of Capital One's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capital One's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting capital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Variance | 6.68 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Capital One
The number of cover stories for Capital One depends on current market conditions and Capital One's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capital One is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capital One's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Capital One Short Properties
Capital One's future price predictability will typically decrease when Capital One's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capital One Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capital One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 381.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.2 B |
Additional Tools for Capital Stock Analysis
When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.