AMUNDI ETF Etf Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CG1G Etf  EUR 442.40  0.10  0.02%   
AMUNDI Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of AMUNDI ETF's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of AMUNDI ETF's share price is below 20 suggesting that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of AMUNDI ETF's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AMUNDI ETF and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AMUNDI ETF's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AMUNDI ETF DAX, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using AMUNDI ETF hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMUNDI ETF DAX from the perspective of AMUNDI ETF response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AMUNDI ETF DAX on the next trading day is expected to be 442.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.15.

AMUNDI ETF after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 441.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AMUNDI ETF to cross-verify your projections.

AMUNDI ETF Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AMUNDI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMUNDI using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMUNDI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for AMUNDI ETF - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When AMUNDI ETF prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in AMUNDI ETF price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of AMUNDI ETF DAX.

AMUNDI ETF Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AMUNDI ETF DAX on the next trading day is expected to be 442.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.36, mean absolute percentage error of 9.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AMUNDI Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AMUNDI ETF's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AMUNDI ETF Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest AMUNDI ETF  AMUNDI ETF Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

AMUNDI ETF Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AMUNDI ETF's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AMUNDI ETF's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 442.09 and 443.37, respectively. We have considered AMUNDI ETF's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
442.40
442.09
Downside
442.73
Expected Value
443.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AMUNDI ETF etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AMUNDI ETF etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3103
MADMean absolute deviation2.3585
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0055
SAESum of the absolute errors139.1487
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past AMUNDI ETF observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older AMUNDI ETF DAX observations.

Predictive Modules for AMUNDI ETF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMUNDI ETF DAX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
441.22441.86442.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
430.70431.34486.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AMUNDI ETF. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AMUNDI ETF's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AMUNDI ETF's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AMUNDI ETF DAX.

AMUNDI ETF After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AMUNDI ETF at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AMUNDI ETF or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of AMUNDI ETF, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AMUNDI ETF Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AMUNDI ETF's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AMUNDI ETF's historical news coverage. AMUNDI ETF's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 441.22 and 442.50, respectively. We have considered AMUNDI ETF's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
442.40
441.22
Downside
441.86
After-hype Price
442.50
Upside
AMUNDI ETF is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMUNDI ETF DAX is based on 3 months time horizon.

AMUNDI ETF Etf Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as AMUNDI ETF is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AMUNDI ETF backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AMUNDI ETF, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
0.64
  0.54 
  0.11 
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
442.40
441.86
0.12 
14.22  
Notes

AMUNDI ETF Hype Timeline

AMUNDI ETF DAX is currently traded for 442.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. AMUNDI is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 441.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 14.22%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on AMUNDI ETF is about 71.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 442.29. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AMUNDI ETF to cross-verify your projections.

AMUNDI ETF Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AMUNDI ETF's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AMUNDI ETF's future price movements. Getting to know how AMUNDI ETF's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AMUNDI ETF may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for AMUNDI ETF

For every potential investor in AMUNDI, whether a beginner or expert, AMUNDI ETF's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AMUNDI Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AMUNDI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AMUNDI ETF's price trends.

AMUNDI ETF Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AMUNDI ETF etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AMUNDI ETF could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AMUNDI ETF by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AMUNDI ETF Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AMUNDI ETF etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AMUNDI ETF shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AMUNDI ETF etf market strength indicators, traders can identify AMUNDI ETF DAX entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AMUNDI ETF Risk Indicators

The analysis of AMUNDI ETF's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AMUNDI ETF's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amundi etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for AMUNDI ETF

The number of cover stories for AMUNDI ETF depends on current market conditions and AMUNDI ETF's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AMUNDI ETF is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AMUNDI ETF's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in AMUNDI Etf

AMUNDI ETF financial ratios help investors to determine whether AMUNDI Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AMUNDI with respect to the benefits of owning AMUNDI ETF security.