Celadon Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

CGIP Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Celadon Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Celadon Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Celadon's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Celadon's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Celadon Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Celadon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Celadon Group from the perspective of Celadon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Celadon Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Celadon after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Celadon to cross-verify your projections.

Celadon Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Celadon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Celadon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Celadon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Celadon price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Celadon Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Celadon Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Celadon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Celadon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Celadon Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest CeladonCeladon Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Celadon Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Celadon's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Celadon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Celadon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Celadon pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Celadon pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.3989
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Celadon Group historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Celadon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Celadon Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Celadon After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Celadon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Celadon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Celadon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Celadon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Celadon's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Celadon's historical news coverage. Celadon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Celadon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Celadon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Celadon Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Celadon Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Celadon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Celadon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Celadon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Celadon Hype Timeline

Celadon Group is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Celadon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Celadon is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.13. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Celadon Group last dividend was issued on the 5th of April 2017. The entity had 3:2 split on the 16th of June 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Celadon to cross-verify your projections.

Celadon Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Celadon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Celadon's future price movements. Getting to know how Celadon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Celadon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Celadon

For every potential investor in Celadon, whether a beginner or expert, Celadon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Celadon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Celadon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Celadon's price trends.

Celadon Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Celadon pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Celadon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Celadon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Celadon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Celadon pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Celadon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Celadon pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Celadon Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Celadon

The number of cover stories for Celadon depends on current market conditions and Celadon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Celadon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Celadon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Celadon Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Celadon's price analysis, check to measure Celadon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Celadon is operating at the current time. Most of Celadon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Celadon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Celadon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Celadon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.