Com Guard Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CGUD Stock | USD 0 0.0003 27.27% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Com GuardCom on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Com Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Com Guard stock prices and determine the direction of Com GuardCom's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Com Guard's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Com Guard's share price is at 57 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Com Guard, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Com Guard hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Com GuardCom from the perspective of Com Guard response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Com GuardCom on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Com Guard after-hype prediction price | USD 0.001458 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Com |
Com Guard Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Com price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Com using various technical indicators. When you analyze Com charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Com Guard Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Com GuardCom on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Com Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Com Guard's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Com Guard Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Com Guard | Com Guard Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Com Guard Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Com Guard's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Com Guard's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000014 and 13.55, respectively. We have considered Com Guard's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Com Guard pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Com Guard pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 100.4738 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1029 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0066 |
Predictive Modules for Com Guard
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Com GuardCom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Com Guard's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Com Guard After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Com Guard at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Com Guard or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Com Guard, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Com Guard Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Com Guard's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Com Guard's historical news coverage. Com Guard's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 13.44, respectively. We have considered Com Guard's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Com Guard is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Com GuardCom is based on 3 months time horizon.
Com Guard Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Com Guard is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Com Guard backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Com Guard, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.27 | 13.55 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0 | 0 | 4.17 |
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Com Guard Hype Timeline
Com GuardCom is currently traded for 0. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Com is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.001458 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is estimated to be 4.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.27%. The volatility of related hype on Com Guard is about 4234375.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Com Guard generates positive cash flow from operations, but has no cash availableGiven the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Com Guard to cross-verify your projections.Com Guard Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Com Guard's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Com Guard's future price movements. Getting to know how Com Guard's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Com Guard may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PNNX | Pennexx Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.15 | 0.01 | 17.65 | (15.00) | 58.02 | |
| EHVVF | Ehave Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.65 | 0.08 | 38.46 | (26.32) | 82.30 | |
| DVNCF | Danavation Technologies Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DFTC | Defentect Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.38 | 0.05 | 16.13 | (21.67) | 79.06 | |
| VCLD | Verecloud | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TTCM | Tautachrome | 0.00 | 0 per month | 18.90 | 0.14 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 480.00 | |
| PNYTF | Poynt | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| REGRF | Graph Blockchain | 0 | 1 per month | 20.34 | 0.17 | 128.57 | (53.12) | 201.04 | |
| NEOM | NeoMedia Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZEUCF | ZeU Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Com Guard
For every potential investor in Com, whether a beginner or expert, Com Guard's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Com Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Com. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Com Guard's price trends.Com Guard Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Com Guard pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Com Guard could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Com Guard by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Com Guard Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Com Guard pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Com Guard shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Com Guard pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Com GuardCom entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.27 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0014 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0014 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.75 |
Com Guard Risk Indicators
The analysis of Com Guard's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Com Guard's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting com pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.87 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 8.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.31 | |||
| Variance | 177.25 | |||
| Downside Variance | 460.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 73.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (26.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Com Guard
The number of cover stories for Com Guard depends on current market conditions and Com Guard's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Com Guard is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Com Guard's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Com Pink Sheet
Com Guard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Com Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Com with respect to the benefits of owning Com Guard security.