Crane Harbor Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CHAC Stock | USD 10.42 0.02 0.19% |
Crane Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Crane Harbor stock prices and determine the direction of Crane Harbor Acquisition's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Crane Harbor's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Crane Harbor's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Crane Harbor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crane Harbor Acquisition from the perspective of Crane Harbor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crane Harbor Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.31. Crane Harbor after-hype prediction price | USD 10.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crane Harbor to cross-verify your projections. Crane Harbor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crane price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crane using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crane charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Crane Harbor Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crane Harbor Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crane Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crane Harbor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Crane Harbor Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Crane Harbor | Crane Harbor Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Crane Harbor Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Crane Harbor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crane Harbor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.00 and 11.84, respectively. We have considered Crane Harbor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crane Harbor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crane Harbor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.714 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0358 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1218 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0109 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.31 |
Predictive Modules for Crane Harbor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crane Harbor Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Crane Harbor After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Crane Harbor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crane Harbor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crane Harbor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Crane Harbor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Crane Harbor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crane Harbor's historical news coverage. Crane Harbor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.95 and 11.79, respectively. We have considered Crane Harbor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Crane Harbor is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crane Harbor Acquisition is based on 3 months time horizon.
Crane Harbor Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crane Harbor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crane Harbor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crane Harbor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.42 | 10.37 | 0.48 |
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Crane Harbor Hype Timeline
Crane Harbor Acquisition is currently traded for 10.42. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Crane is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Crane Harbor is about 14200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.42. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crane Harbor to cross-verify your projections.Crane Harbor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Crane Harbor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crane Harbor's future price movements. Getting to know how Crane Harbor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crane Harbor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PCAP | ProCap Acquisition Corp | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.43) | 0.29 | (0.39) | 1.47 | |
| OBA | Oxley Bridge Acquisition | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.50) | 0.30 | (0.20) | 0.89 | |
| POLE | Andretti Acquisition Corp | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.48) | 0.29 | (0.38) | 1.61 | |
| LPAA | Launch One Acquisition | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.59) | 0.28 | (0.19) | 0.76 | |
| GRAF | Graf Global Corp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.32 | (0.23) | 0.47 | (0.56) | 2.60 | |
| JACS | Jackson Acquisition | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.07 | (0.48) | 0.29 | (0.29) | 0.96 | |
| TVA | Texas Ventures Acquisition | (0.02) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.95 | (1.12) | 3.75 | |
| ALDF | Aldel Financial II | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.64) | 0.19 | (0.28) | 0.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Crane Harbor
For every potential investor in Crane, whether a beginner or expert, Crane Harbor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crane Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crane. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crane Harbor's price trends.Crane Harbor Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Crane Harbor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Crane Harbor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crane Harbor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crane Harbor Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crane Harbor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crane Harbor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crane Harbor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crane Harbor Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Crane Harbor Risk Indicators
The analysis of Crane Harbor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crane Harbor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crane stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Variance | 2.01 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Crane Harbor
The number of cover stories for Crane Harbor depends on current market conditions and Crane Harbor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crane Harbor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crane Harbor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Crane Harbor Short Properties
Crane Harbor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Crane Harbor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crane Harbor Acquisition often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crane Harbor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crane Harbor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Short Percent Float | 0.0022 | |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 501.4 K | |
| Short Percent | 0.0022 |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crane Harbor to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Will Diversified Capital Markets sector continue expanding? Could Crane diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crane Harbor. Projected growth potential of Crane fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Crane Harbor data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Crane Harbor Acquisition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crane that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crane Harbor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crane Harbor's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Crane Harbor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crane Harbor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Crane Harbor's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Crane Harbor should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Crane Harbor's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.