Chiba Bank Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CHBAY Stock | USD 55.00 0.00 0.00% |
Chiba Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength index (RSI) of Chiba Bank's share price is above 80 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 87
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Chiba Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chiba Bank Ltd from the perspective of Chiba Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Chiba Bank Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 55.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.68. Chiba Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 55.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chiba |
Chiba Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chiba price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chiba using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chiba charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Chiba Bank Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Chiba Bank Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 55.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 1.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chiba Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chiba Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Chiba Bank Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Chiba Bank | Chiba Bank Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Chiba Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Chiba Bank's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chiba Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.14 and 56.86, respectively. We have considered Chiba Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chiba Bank pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chiba Bank pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4825 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2034 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2827 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0053 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.68 |
Predictive Modules for Chiba Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chiba Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chiba Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chiba Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chiba Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Chiba Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chiba Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chiba Bank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chiba Bank's historical news coverage. Chiba Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.14 and 56.86, respectively. We have considered Chiba Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chiba Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chiba Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chiba Bank Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chiba Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chiba Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chiba Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.86 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
55.00 | 55.00 | 0.00 |
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Chiba Bank Hype Timeline
Chiba Bank is currently traded for 55.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.3. Chiba is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chiba Bank is about 169.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 54.70. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.56. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Chiba Bank last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chiba Bank to cross-verify your projections.Chiba Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chiba Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chiba Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Chiba Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chiba Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCRDF | Concordia Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NDBKY | Nedbank Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | 0.12 | 2.82 | (2.76) | 6.70 | |
| AGRPF | Absa Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NDBKF | Nedbank Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.04 | |
| CIBEY | Commercial International Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.99 | 0.15 | 4.03 | (2.91) | 10.60 | |
| ITCFY | Investec Ltd ADR | (3.66) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.56 | (1.14) | 19.38 | |
| TKYVY | Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MEBUF | Mebuki Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FNBKY | FinecoBank Banca Fineco | (3.66) | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.11 | |
| BNMDF | Banca Mediolanum SpA | (3.66) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.83 |
Other Forecasting Options for Chiba Bank
For every potential investor in Chiba, whether a beginner or expert, Chiba Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chiba Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chiba. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chiba Bank's price trends.Chiba Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chiba Bank pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chiba Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chiba Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Chiba Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chiba Bank pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chiba Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chiba Bank pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Chiba Bank Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Chiba Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Chiba Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chiba Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chiba pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5808 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Variance | 3.18 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Chiba Bank
The number of cover stories for Chiba Bank depends on current market conditions and Chiba Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chiba Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chiba Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Chiba Bank Short Properties
Chiba Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chiba Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chiba Bank Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chiba Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chiba Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 148.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 T |
Additional Tools for Chiba Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Chiba Bank's price analysis, check to measure Chiba Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chiba Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Chiba Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chiba Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chiba Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chiba Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.