Ab Discovery Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression
| CHCIX Fund | USD 13.77 0.04 0.29% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ab Discovery Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 13.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.79. CHCIX Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Ab Discovery's mutual fund price is slightly above 65 suggesting that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CHCIX, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ab Discovery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ab Discovery Growth from the perspective of Ab Discovery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ab Discovery Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 13.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.79. Ab Discovery after-hype prediction price | USD 13.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CHCIX |
Ab Discovery Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CHCIX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CHCIX using various technical indicators. When you analyze CHCIX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ab Discovery Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Ab Discovery Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 13.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CHCIX Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ab Discovery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ab Discovery Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ab Discovery | Ab Discovery Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ab Discovery Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ab Discovery's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ab Discovery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.85 and 15.78, respectively. We have considered Ab Discovery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ab Discovery mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ab Discovery mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5902 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3999 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0345 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.7946 |
Predictive Modules for Ab Discovery
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ab Discovery Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ab Discovery After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ab Discovery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ab Discovery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Ab Discovery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ab Discovery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ab Discovery's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ab Discovery's historical news coverage. Ab Discovery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.82 and 15.72, respectively. We have considered Ab Discovery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ab Discovery is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ab Discovery Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ab Discovery Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Ab Discovery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ab Discovery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ab Discovery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.96 | 3.58 | 2.79 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.77 | 13.77 | 0.00 |
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Ab Discovery Hype Timeline
Ab Discovery Growth is currently traded for 13.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.58, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.79. CHCIX is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 17.53%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ab Discovery is about 22.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.98. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ab Discovery to cross-verify your projections.Ab Discovery Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ab Discovery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ab Discovery's future price movements. Getting to know how Ab Discovery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ab Discovery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WABMSX | Wabmsx | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | (0.03) | 1.05 | (1.39) | 3.17 | |
| VOLMX | Volumetric Fund Volumetric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.58 | (0.03) | 1.30 | (0.92) | 3.45 | |
| ARSKX | Archer Stock Fund | 0.18 | 3 per month | 0.34 | 0.10 | 1.19 | (1.17) | 15.87 | |
| FVKVWX | Fvkvwx | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.49 | 0.10 | 1.66 | (1.27) | 3.53 | |
| AUUIX | Ab Select Equity | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.49 | 0.06 | 1.12 | (0.99) | 8.89 | |
| LMUSX | Qs Large Cap | 20.31 | 1 per month | 0.71 | 0.02 | 1.26 | (1.35) | 4.94 | |
| FMFTX | Materials Portfolio Fidelity | (81.52) | 4 per month | 0.73 | 0.07 | 1.91 | (1.56) | 3.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ab Discovery
For every potential investor in CHCIX, whether a beginner or expert, Ab Discovery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CHCIX Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CHCIX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ab Discovery's price trends.Ab Discovery Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ab Discovery mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ab Discovery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ab Discovery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ab Discovery Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ab Discovery mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ab Discovery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ab Discovery mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Ab Discovery Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.77 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 65.85 |
Ab Discovery Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ab Discovery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ab Discovery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chcix mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Variance | 3.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ab Discovery
The number of cover stories for Ab Discovery depends on current market conditions and Ab Discovery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ab Discovery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ab Discovery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in CHCIX Mutual Fund
Ab Discovery financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHCIX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHCIX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab Discovery security.
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