Citizen Watch OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CHCLF Stock  USD 5.25  0.00  0.00%   
Citizen OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Citizen Watch's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Citizen Watch's share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Citizen Watch stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Citizen Watch shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Citizen Watch's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Citizen Watch and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Citizen Watch's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Citizen Watch, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Citizen Watch based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Citizen Watch hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citizen Watch from the perspective of Citizen Watch response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Citizen Watch on the next trading day is expected to be 5.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Citizen Watch after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citizen Watch to cross-verify your projections.

Citizen Watch Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Citizen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citizen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citizen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Citizen Watch is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Citizen Watch Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Citizen Watch on the next trading day is expected to be 5.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Citizen OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Citizen Watch's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Citizen Watch OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Citizen Watch  Citizen Watch Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Citizen Watch Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Citizen Watch's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Citizen Watch's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.25 and 5.25, respectively. We have considered Citizen Watch's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.25
5.25
Expected Value
5.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Citizen Watch otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Citizen Watch otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Citizen Watch price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Citizen Watch. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Citizen Watch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citizen Watch. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.255.255.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.255.255.25
Details

Citizen Watch After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Citizen Watch at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citizen Watch or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Citizen Watch, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Citizen Watch Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Citizen Watch's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citizen Watch's historical news coverage. Citizen Watch's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.25 and 5.25, respectively. We have considered Citizen Watch's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.25
5.25
After-hype Price
5.25
Upside
Citizen Watch is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citizen Watch is based on 3 months time horizon.

Citizen Watch OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Citizen Watch is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citizen Watch backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citizen Watch, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.25
5.25
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Citizen Watch Hype Timeline

Citizen Watch is currently traded for 5.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Citizen is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Citizen Watch is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.25. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.79. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Citizen Watch had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citizen Watch to cross-verify your projections.

Citizen Watch Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Citizen Watch's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citizen Watch's future price movements. Getting to know how Citizen Watch's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citizen Watch may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Citizen Watch

For every potential investor in Citizen, whether a beginner or expert, Citizen Watch's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Citizen OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Citizen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Citizen Watch's price trends.

Citizen Watch Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Citizen Watch otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Citizen Watch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Citizen Watch by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Citizen Watch Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Citizen Watch otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Citizen Watch shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Citizen Watch otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Citizen Watch entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Citizen Watch

The number of cover stories for Citizen Watch depends on current market conditions and Citizen Watch's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citizen Watch is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citizen Watch's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Citizen OTC Stock

Citizen Watch financial ratios help investors to determine whether Citizen OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Citizen with respect to the benefits of owning Citizen Watch security.