Chic Republic Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CHIC Stock   0.23  0.01  4.17%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chic Republic PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.52. Chic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Chic Republic's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chic Republic's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chic Republic PCL, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Chic Republic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chic Republic PCL from the perspective of Chic Republic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chic Republic PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.52.

Chic Republic after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 0.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chic Republic to cross-verify your projections.

Chic Republic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Chic Republic is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Chic Republic PCL value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Chic Republic Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chic Republic PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chic Republic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Chic Republic Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Chic RepublicChic Republic Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Chic Republic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Chic Republic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chic Republic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.12, respectively. We have considered Chic Republic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.23
0.24
Expected Value
5.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chic Republic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chic Republic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.9943
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0085
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0307
SAESum of the absolute errors0.5207
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Chic Republic PCL. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Chic Republic. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Chic Republic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chic Republic PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.235.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.225.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Chic Republic

For every potential investor in Chic, whether a beginner or expert, Chic Republic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chic Republic's price trends.

Chic Republic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chic Republic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chic Republic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chic Republic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chic Republic PCL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chic Republic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chic Republic's current price.

Chic Republic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chic Republic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chic Republic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chic Republic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chic Republic PCL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chic Republic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chic Republic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chic Republic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Chic Stock

Chic Republic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chic with respect to the benefits of owning Chic Republic security.