Chakana Copper OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CHKKF Stock  USD 0.10  0.01  6.61%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chakana Copper Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.54. Chakana OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Chakana Copper's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Chakana Copper is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Chakana Copper Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Chakana Copper Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chakana Copper Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chakana OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chakana Copper's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Chakana Copper OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Chakana Copper Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Chakana Copper's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chakana Copper's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.57, respectively. We have considered Chakana Copper's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.10
0.08
Expected Value
8.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chakana Copper otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chakana Copper otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.8751
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0088
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0708
SAESum of the absolute errors0.5426
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Chakana Copper Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Chakana Copper. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Chakana Copper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chakana Copper Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.108.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.18.58
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Chakana Copper

For every potential investor in Chakana, whether a beginner or expert, Chakana Copper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chakana OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chakana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chakana Copper's price trends.

Chakana Copper Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chakana Copper otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chakana Copper could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chakana Copper by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chakana Copper Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chakana Copper's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chakana Copper's current price.

Chakana Copper Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chakana Copper otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chakana Copper shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chakana Copper otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chakana Copper Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chakana Copper Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chakana Copper's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chakana Copper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chakana otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Chakana OTC Stock

Chakana Copper financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chakana OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chakana with respect to the benefits of owning Chakana Copper security.