Chill Brands Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CHLL Stock | 0.45 0.05 10.00% |
Chill Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the rsi of Chill Brands' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.92) |
Using Chill Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chill Brands Group from the perspective of Chill Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Chill Brands Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.68. Chill Brands after-hype prediction price | GBX 0.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chill |
Chill Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chill price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chill using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chill charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Chill Brands Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Chill Brands Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chill Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chill Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Chill Brands Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Chill Brands | Chill Brands Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Chill Brands Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Chill Brands' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chill Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.64, respectively. We have considered Chill Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chill Brands stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chill Brands stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.3751 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0135 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0284 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0454 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.675 |
Predictive Modules for Chill Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chill Brands Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chill Brands After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chill Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chill Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chill Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chill Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chill Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chill Brands' historical news coverage. Chill Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 6.64, respectively. We have considered Chill Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chill Brands is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chill Brands Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chill Brands Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chill Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chill Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chill Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.11 | 6.19 | 0.00 | 261.08 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.45 | 0.45 | 0.00 |
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Chill Brands Hype Timeline
Chill Brands Group is currently traded for 0.45on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 261.08. Chill is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chill Brands is about 2.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 261.53. About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Chill Brands Group had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1118:1097 split on the 7th of July 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chill Brands to cross-verify your projections.Chill Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chill Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chill Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Chill Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chill Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BC94 | Samsung Electronics Co | 13.00 | 4 per month | 1.68 | 0.30 | 5.77 | (3.43) | 13.29 | |
| SMSD | Samsung Electronics Co | 15.00 | 7 per month | 1.76 | 0.27 | 5.44 | (3.79) | 12.16 | |
| TYT | Toyota Motor Corp | 0.00 | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.12 | 3.26 | (2.29) | 10.55 | |
| 0K1Y | Mitsubishi UFJ Financial | 0.29 | 3 per month | 1.23 | 0.18 | 4.25 | (2.91) | 7.52 | |
| 0R15 | SoftBank Group Corp | 6,720 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.41 | (9.95) | 109.63 | |
| SBID | State Bank of | (2.40) | 5 per month | 1.14 | 0.14 | 2.85 | (1.66) | 8.81 | |
| RIGD | Reliance Industries Limited | 0.80 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.43 | (2.57) | 6.17 | |
| 0M69 | OTP Bank Nyrt | (4,865) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for Chill Brands
For every potential investor in Chill, whether a beginner or expert, Chill Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chill Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chill Brands' price trends.Chill Brands Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chill Brands stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chill Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chill Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Chill Brands Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chill Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chill Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chill Brands stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chill Brands Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Chill Brands Risk Indicators
The analysis of Chill Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chill Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chill stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.05 | |||
| Variance | 36.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Chill Brands
The number of cover stories for Chill Brands depends on current market conditions and Chill Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chill Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chill Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Chill Brands Short Properties
Chill Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Chill Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chill Brands Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chill Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chill Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 506.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31 K |
Additional Tools for Chill Stock Analysis
When running Chill Brands' price analysis, check to measure Chill Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chill Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Chill Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chill Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chill Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chill Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.