China Youzan Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CHNVF Stock | USD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Youzan on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06. China Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Youzan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of China Youzan's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using China Youzan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Youzan from the perspective of China Youzan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Youzan on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06. China Youzan after-hype prediction price | USD 0.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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China Youzan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
China Youzan Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Youzan on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000186, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Youzan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
China Youzan Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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China Youzan Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting China Youzan's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. China Youzan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 8.44, respectively. We have considered China Youzan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Youzan pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Youzan pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 104.9147 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.047 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0594 |
Predictive Modules for China Youzan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Youzan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Youzan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
China Youzan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Youzan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Youzan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Youzan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Youzan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Youzan's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Youzan's historical news coverage. China Youzan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.44, respectively. We have considered China Youzan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Youzan is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Youzan is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Youzan Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Youzan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Youzan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Youzan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 8.42 | 0.00 | 0.92 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.02 | 0.02 | 5.26 |
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China Youzan Hype Timeline
China Youzan is currently traded for 0.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.92. China is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 5.26%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on China Youzan is about 428.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.9. China Youzan has accumulated about 830.96 M in cash with (691.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of China Youzan to cross-verify your projections.China Youzan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Youzan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Youzan's future price movements. Getting to know how China Youzan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Youzan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NPACF | Quadient SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NPACY | Quadient SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NXLLF | Nuix Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.57 | |
| RWWI | Rand Worldwide | (14.85) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.41 | (2.64) | 8.71 | |
| TSVNF | Team17 Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRDLF | Broadleaf Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.49) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | |
| BOYAF | Boyaa Interactive International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.24 | |
| BLKLF | Blackline Safety Corp | (4.81) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.12 | (3.48) | 15.87 | |
| JPDYY | Japan Display ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.42 | |
| GREZF | GREE Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for China Youzan
For every potential investor in China, whether a beginner or expert, China Youzan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. China Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in China. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying China Youzan's price trends.China Youzan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Youzan pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Youzan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Youzan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
China Youzan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Youzan pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Youzan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Youzan pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Youzan entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
China Youzan Risk Indicators
The analysis of China Youzan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in China Youzan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting china pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.16 | |||
| Variance | 66.54 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for China Youzan
The number of cover stories for China Youzan depends on current market conditions and China Youzan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Youzan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Youzan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet
China Youzan financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Youzan security.