CHS Preferred Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| CHSCN Preferred Stock | USD 25.59 0.02 0.08% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CHS Inc CN on the next trading day is expected to be 25.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.94. CHS Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
CHS |
CHS Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CHS Inc CN on the next trading day is expected to be 25.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CHS Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CHS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CHS Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CHS | CHS Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CHS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CHS's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CHS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.08 and 26.10, respectively. We have considered CHS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CHS preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CHS preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.021 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1007 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0039 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.939 |
Predictive Modules for CHS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHS Inc CN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CHS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for CHS
For every potential investor in CHS, whether a beginner or expert, CHS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CHS Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CHS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CHS's price trends.CHS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CHS preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CHS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CHS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CHS Inc CN Technical and Predictive Analytics
The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CHS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CHS's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CHS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CHS preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CHS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CHS preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CHS Inc CN entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CHS Risk Indicators
The analysis of CHS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CHS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chs preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3804 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4936 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5043 | |||
| Variance | 0.2543 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3024 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2436 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with CHS
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CHS position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CHS will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with CHS Preferred Stock
Moving against CHS Preferred Stock
| 0.51 | GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | DLTR | Dollar Tree | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | AAGR | African Agriculture Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | DG | Dollar General | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CHS could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CHS when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CHS - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CHS Inc CN to buy it.
The correlation of CHS is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CHS moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CHS Inc CN moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CHS can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in CHS Preferred Stock
CHS financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHS Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHS with respect to the benefits of owning CHS security.