Chunghwa Telecom Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

CHT Stock  USD 41.40  0.37  0.89%   
Chunghwa Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Chunghwa Telecom's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chunghwa Telecom's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chunghwa Telecom Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Chunghwa Telecom's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.034
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.664
Wall Street Target Price
41.6667
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.005
Using Chunghwa Telecom hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chunghwa Telecom Co from the perspective of Chunghwa Telecom response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Chunghwa Telecom using Chunghwa Telecom's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Chunghwa using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Chunghwa Telecom's stock price.

Chunghwa Telecom Short Interest

An investor who is long Chunghwa Telecom may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Chunghwa Telecom and may potentially protect profits, hedge Chunghwa Telecom with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
43.2524
Short Percent
0.0021
Short Ratio
2.18
Shares Short Prior Month
449.9 K
50 Day MA
41.7888

Chunghwa Relative Strength Index

Chunghwa Telecom Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Chunghwa Telecom's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chunghwa. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chunghwa can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chunghwa Telecom Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Chunghwa Telecom's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Chunghwa Telecom.

Chunghwa Telecom Implied Volatility

    
  0.81  
Chunghwa Telecom's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chunghwa Telecom Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chunghwa Telecom's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chunghwa Telecom stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chunghwa Telecom's options are near their expiration.

Chunghwa Telecom after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 41.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chunghwa Telecom to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Chunghwa contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Chunghwa Telecom Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0506% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Chunghwa Telecom trading at USD 41.4, that is roughly USD 0.021 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Chunghwa Telecom's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Chunghwa Telecom Co options at the current volatility level of 0.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Chunghwa Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Chunghwa Telecom's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Chunghwa Telecom's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Chunghwa Telecom stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Chunghwa Telecom's open interest, investors have to compare it to Chunghwa Telecom's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Chunghwa Telecom is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Chunghwa. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Chunghwa Telecom Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chunghwa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chunghwa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chunghwa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Chunghwa Telecom Co has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0169. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Chunghwa Telecom is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Chunghwa Telecom Co to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Chunghwa Telecom trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Chunghwa Telecom VolatilityBacktest Chunghwa TelecomInformation Ratio  

Chunghwa Telecom Trading Date Momentum

On February 07 2026 Chunghwa Telecom Co was traded for  41.40  at the closing time. Highest Chunghwa Telecom's price during the trading hours was 41.91  and the lowest price during the day was  41.20 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 7th of February did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 1.23% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Chunghwa Telecom to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Chunghwa Telecom

For every potential investor in Chunghwa, whether a beginner or expert, Chunghwa Telecom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chunghwa Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chunghwa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chunghwa Telecom's price trends.

Chunghwa Telecom Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chunghwa Telecom stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chunghwa Telecom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chunghwa Telecom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chunghwa Telecom Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chunghwa Telecom stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chunghwa Telecom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chunghwa Telecom stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chunghwa Telecom Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chunghwa Telecom Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chunghwa Telecom's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chunghwa Telecom's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chunghwa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Chunghwa Telecom

The number of cover stories for Chunghwa Telecom depends on current market conditions and Chunghwa Telecom's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chunghwa Telecom is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chunghwa Telecom's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Chunghwa Telecom Short Properties

Chunghwa Telecom's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chunghwa Telecom's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chunghwa Telecom Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chunghwa Telecom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chunghwa Telecom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding775.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments37.8 B

Additional Tools for Chunghwa Stock Analysis

When running Chunghwa Telecom's price analysis, check to measure Chunghwa Telecom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chunghwa Telecom is operating at the current time. Most of Chunghwa Telecom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chunghwa Telecom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chunghwa Telecom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chunghwa Telecom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.