Troilus Gold OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

CHXMF Stock  USD 1.38  0.08  6.15%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Troilus Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66. Troilus OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Troilus Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the value of rsi of Troilus Gold's share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Troilus Gold Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Troilus Gold shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Troilus Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Troilus Gold and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Troilus Gold's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Troilus Gold Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Troilus Gold based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Troilus Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Troilus Gold Corp from the perspective of Troilus Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Troilus Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66.

Troilus Gold after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Troilus Gold to cross-verify your projections.

Troilus Gold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Troilus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Troilus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Troilus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Troilus Gold price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Troilus Gold Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Troilus Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Troilus OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Troilus Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Troilus Gold OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Troilus GoldTroilus Gold Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Troilus Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Troilus Gold's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Troilus Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.37, respectively. We have considered Troilus Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.38
1.29
Expected Value
5.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Troilus Gold otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Troilus Gold otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.0846
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0429
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0405
SAESum of the absolute errors2.6569
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Troilus Gold Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Troilus Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Troilus Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.385.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.265.34
Details

Troilus Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Troilus Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Troilus Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Troilus Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Troilus Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Troilus Gold's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Troilus Gold's historical news coverage. Troilus Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 5.46, respectively. We have considered Troilus Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.38
1.38
After-hype Price
5.46
Upside
Troilus Gold is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Troilus Gold Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Troilus Gold OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Troilus Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Troilus Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Troilus Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.65 
4.08
 0.00  
  0.83 
0 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.38
1.38
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Troilus Gold Hype Timeline

Troilus Gold Corp is currently traded for 1.38. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.83. Troilus is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.65%. %. The volatility of related hype on Troilus Gold is about 319.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.21. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.26. Troilus Gold Corp last dividend was issued on the 3rd of January 2018. The entity had 1:4 split on the 3rd of January 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Troilus Gold to cross-verify your projections.

Troilus Gold Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Troilus Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Troilus Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Troilus Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Troilus Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ARAFFArafura Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 11.76 (10.00) 42.91 
BELMFBelmont Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FWEDFFireweed Zinc 10.39 3 per month 3.57 (0.01) 5.71 (6.55) 14.24 
PRMNFPrime Mining Corp 0.05 9 per month 2.86  0.18  5.95 (4.95) 24.70 
TIMCFTIMIA Capital Corp 0.60 9 per month 5.08  0.07  9.78 (7.85) 38.26 
GDQMFGoldQuest Mining Corp(0.02)23 per month 3.30  0.16  13.10 (7.14) 30.92 
NTCPFNorthIsle Copper and 0.43 2 per month 2.59  0.30  12.57 (5.64) 19.64 
PMETFPatriot Battery Metals 0.60 16 per month 3.97  0.18  12.11 (6.09) 21.35 
SYAXFSayona Mining Limited 0.13 15 per month 5.48  0.22  10.08 (9.09) 26.76 
FGOVFFreegold Ventures Limited 0.60 13 per month 3.94  0.08  7.02 (6.09) 26.92 

Other Forecasting Options for Troilus Gold

For every potential investor in Troilus, whether a beginner or expert, Troilus Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Troilus OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Troilus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Troilus Gold's price trends.

Troilus Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Troilus Gold otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Troilus Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Troilus Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Troilus Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Troilus Gold otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Troilus Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Troilus Gold otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Troilus Gold Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Troilus Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Troilus Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Troilus Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting troilus otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Troilus Gold

The number of cover stories for Troilus Gold depends on current market conditions and Troilus Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Troilus Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Troilus Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Troilus OTC Stock

Troilus Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Troilus OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Troilus with respect to the benefits of owning Troilus Gold security.