China Mengniu Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CIADFDelisted Stock  USD 2.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Mengniu Dairy on the next trading day is expected to be 2.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.58. China Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Mengniu's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of China Mengniu's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China Mengniu's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Mengniu and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Mengniu's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Mengniu Dairy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using China Mengniu hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Mengniu Dairy from the perspective of China Mengniu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Mengniu Dairy on the next trading day is expected to be 2.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.58.

China Mengniu after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

China Mengniu Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for China Mengniu is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of China Mengniu Dairy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

China Mengniu Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Mengniu Dairy on the next trading day is expected to be 2.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Mengniu's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

China Mengniu Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest China MengniuChina Mengniu Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Mengniu pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Mengniu pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.886
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0586
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0295
SAESum of the absolute errors3.5764
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of China Mengniu Dairy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict China Mengniu. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for China Mengniu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Mengniu Dairy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Mengniu's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.502.502.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.921.922.75
Details

China Mengniu Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Mengniu pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Mengniu could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Mengniu by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

China Mengniu Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Mengniu pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Mengniu shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Mengniu pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Mengniu Dairy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

China Mengniu Risk Indicators

The analysis of China Mengniu's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in China Mengniu's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting china pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

Other Consideration for investing in China Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in China Mengniu Dairy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Mengniu's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency