China Mengniu Dairy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CIADF Stock  USD 1.48  0.00  0.00%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding China Mengniu Dairy is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides China Mengniu buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CIADF positions.
  
Check out China Mengniu Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. China Mengniu Dairy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute China Mengniu Buy or Sell Advice

The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Mengniu Dairy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Mengniu Dairy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Mengniu's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell China MengniuBuy China Mengniu
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon China Mengniu Dairy has a Mean Deviation of 0.0398, Standard Deviation of 0.1641 and Variance of 0.0269
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on China Mengniu Dairy. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure China Mengniu is not overpriced, please confirm all China Mengniu Dairy fundamentals, including its price to book, ebitda, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and revenue . Please also double-check China Mengniu Dairy price to book to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

China Mengniu Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

China Mengniu Dairy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
China Mengniu Dairy may become a speculative penny stock
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

China Mengniu Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of China Mengniu's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Mengniu's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Mengniu daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Mengniu Dairy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Mengniu returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Mengniu.
Mean Return
-0.02
Value At Risk
0.00
Potential Upside
0.00
Standard Deviation
0.16
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Mengniu historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

China Mengniu Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Mengniu or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Mengniu's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.92

China Mengniu Volatility Alert

China Mengniu Dairy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -8.12 and kurtosis of 66.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China Mengniu's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China Mengniu's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

China Mengniu Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing China Mengniu's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Mengniu's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Mengniu and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Mengniu or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Mengniu's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Mengniu by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare China Mengniu to competition
FundamentalsChina MengniuPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.0259-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation19.99 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.96 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders24.04 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions51.80 %39.21 %
Price To Earning30.43 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.98 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.20 X11.42 X
Revenue88.14 B9.43 B
Gross Profit32.21 B27.38 B
EBITDA9.01 B3.9 B
Net Income5.03 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents15.31 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.87 X5.01 X
Total Debt22.41 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.82 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.08 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.83 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations7.54 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.22 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.85 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees44.28 K18.84 K
Beta0.66-0.15
Market Capitalization18.64 B19.03 B
Total Asset98.1 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings12.76 B9.33 B
Working Capital4.44 B1.48 B
Current Asset21.71 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities17.27 B7.9 B
Annual Yield0.01 %

China Mengniu Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About China Mengniu Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell China Mengniu Dairy? Buying financial instruments such as China Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having China Mengniu in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Diversified Assets
Diversified Assets Theme
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Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet

China Mengniu financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Mengniu security.