Cicor Technologies Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| CICN Stock | CHF 57.00 0.40 0.71% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cicor Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 57.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.00. Cicor Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Cicor |
Cicor Technologies 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cicor Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 57.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98, mean absolute percentage error of 1.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cicor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cicor Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cicor Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
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Cicor Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cicor Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cicor Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 55.48 and 58.52, respectively. We have considered Cicor Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cicor Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cicor Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.319 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2825 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9825 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0182 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 56.0 |
Predictive Modules for Cicor Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cicor Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Cicor Technologies
For every potential investor in Cicor, whether a beginner or expert, Cicor Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cicor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cicor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cicor Technologies' price trends.Cicor Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cicor Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cicor Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cicor Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cicor Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cicor Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cicor Technologies' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Cicor Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cicor Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cicor Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cicor Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cicor Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cicor Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cicor Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cicor Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cicor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.984 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9683 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Cicor Stock Analysis
When running Cicor Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Cicor Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cicor Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Cicor Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cicor Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cicor Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cicor Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.