Mfs Intermediate Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CIF Fund | USD 1.77 0.01 0.57% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Mfs Intermediate High on the next trading day is expected to be 1.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49. Mfs Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mfs Intermediate's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Mfs |
Mfs Intermediate Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Mfs Intermediate High on the next trading day is expected to be 1.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mfs Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mfs Intermediate's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mfs Intermediate Fund Forecast Pattern
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Mfs Intermediate Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mfs Intermediate's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mfs Intermediate's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.25 and 2.28, respectively. We have considered Mfs Intermediate's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mfs Intermediate fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mfs Intermediate fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.2577 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -8.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0083 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0048 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.49 |
Predictive Modules for Mfs Intermediate
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mfs Intermediate High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Mfs Intermediate
For every potential investor in Mfs, whether a beginner or expert, Mfs Intermediate's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mfs Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mfs. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mfs Intermediate's price trends.View Mfs Intermediate Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mfs Intermediate High Technical and Predictive Analytics
The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mfs Intermediate's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mfs Intermediate's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mfs Intermediate Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mfs Intermediate fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mfs Intermediate shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mfs Intermediate fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Mfs Intermediate High entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mfs Intermediate Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mfs Intermediate's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mfs Intermediate's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mfs fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4084 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3951 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.534 | |||
| Variance | 0.2852 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3943 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1561 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Mfs Fund
Mfs Intermediate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Intermediate security.
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