Colliers International Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CIGI Stock  USD 139.72  5.58  4.16%   
Colliers Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Colliers International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Colliers International's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Colliers International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Colliers International Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Colliers International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.123
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.5166
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.679
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.5883
Wall Street Target Price
183.8889
Using Colliers International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Colliers International Group from the perspective of Colliers International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Colliers International using Colliers International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Colliers using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Colliers International's stock price.

Colliers International Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Colliers International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Colliers. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Colliers International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
143.9227
Short Percent
0.0134
Short Ratio
2.51
Shares Short Prior Month
374.1 K
50 Day MA
143.646

Colliers Relative Strength Index

The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Colliers International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 139.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.04.

Colliers International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Colliers International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Colliers. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Colliers can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Colliers International Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Colliers International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Colliers International.

Colliers International Implied Volatility

    
  0.4  
Colliers International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Colliers International Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Colliers International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Colliers International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Colliers International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Colliers International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 139.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.04.

Colliers International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 138.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Colliers International to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Colliers contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Colliers International Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Colliers International trading at USD 139.72, that is roughly USD 0.0349 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Colliers International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Colliers International Group options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Colliers Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Colliers International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Colliers International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Colliers International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Colliers International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Colliers International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Colliers International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Colliers. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Colliers International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Colliers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Colliers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Colliers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Colliers International simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Colliers International Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Colliers International prices get older.

Colliers International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Colliers International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 139.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.77, mean absolute percentage error of 6.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Colliers Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Colliers International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Colliers International Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Colliers International  Colliers International Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Colliers International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Colliers International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Colliers International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 137.94 and 141.50, respectively. We have considered Colliers International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
139.72
137.94
Downside
139.72
Expected Value
141.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Colliers International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Colliers International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1084
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1897
MADMean absolute deviation1.7673
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0125
SAESum of the absolute errors106.04
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Colliers International Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Colliers International observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Colliers International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colliers International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
136.71138.42140.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
124.83161.60163.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
134.46143.43152.39
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
167.34183.89204.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Colliers International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Colliers International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Colliers International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Colliers International.

Colliers International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Colliers International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Colliers International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Colliers International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Colliers International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Colliers International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Colliers International's historical news coverage. Colliers International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 136.71 and 140.13, respectively. We have considered Colliers International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
139.72
136.71
Downside
138.42
After-hype Price
140.13
Upside
Colliers International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Colliers International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Colliers International Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Colliers International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Colliers International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Colliers International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.78
  12.17 
  0.03 
1 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
139.72
138.42
0.20 
1.61  
Notes

Colliers International Hype Timeline

Colliers International is currently traded for 139.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -12.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Colliers is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 138.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 1.61%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Colliers International is about 712.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 139.75. About 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Colliers International was currently reported as 28.32. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.14. Colliers International last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The entity had 1709:1000 split on the 2nd of June 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Colliers International to cross-verify your projections.

Colliers International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Colliers International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Colliers International's future price movements. Getting to know how Colliers International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Colliers International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FRPHFrp Holdings Ord(0.07)7 per month 1.73 (0.02) 2.33 (2.79) 8.28 
MMIMarcus Millichap 0.87 10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.10 (2.89) 11.79 
MLPMaui Land Pineapple(0.16)6 per month 1.37  0.04  3.65 (2.07) 8.45 
MAYSJ W Mays 0.15 3 per month 1.98  0.01  3.87 (3.84) 16.12 
JLLJones Lang LaSalle 2.10 12 per month 1.69  0.07  3.97 (3.15) 10.91 
NMRKNewmark Group(0.36)10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.14 (2.73) 13.79 
CBRECBRE Group Class 1.13 11 per month 1.19  0.07  2.63 (2.77) 7.23 
CWKCushman Wakefield plc 1.01 8 per month 1.94 (0) 4.34 (3.55) 14.42 
CSGPCoStar Group(3.06)10 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.64 (5.02) 19.70 
TCITranscontinental Realty Investors 0.75 8 per month 2.27  0.08  6.03 (4.08) 16.63 
HOUSAnywhere Real Estate 0.38 8 per month 1.49  0.22  6.95 (3.45) 14.45 
RMAXRe Max Holding 0.26 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.56 (4.25) 15.65 

Other Forecasting Options for Colliers International

For every potential investor in Colliers, whether a beginner or expert, Colliers International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Colliers Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Colliers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Colliers International's price trends.

Colliers International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Colliers International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Colliers International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Colliers International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Colliers International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Colliers International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Colliers International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Colliers International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Colliers International Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Colliers International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Colliers International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Colliers International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting colliers stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Colliers International

The number of cover stories for Colliers International depends on current market conditions and Colliers International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Colliers International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Colliers International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Colliers International Short Properties

Colliers International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Colliers International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Colliers International Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Colliers International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colliers International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments224.8 M
When determining whether Colliers International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Colliers International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Colliers International Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Colliers International Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Colliers International to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is there potential for Real Estate Management & Development market expansion? Will Colliers introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Colliers International. Projected growth potential of Colliers fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Colliers International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.123
Dividend Share
0.3
Earnings Share
2.31
Revenue Per Share
107.644
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.241
Investors evaluate Colliers International using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Colliers International's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Colliers International's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Colliers International's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Colliers International should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Colliers International's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.