CITIC Securities Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CIIHFDelisted Stock | USD 3.50 0.00 0.00% |
CITIC Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CITIC Securities' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of CITIC Securities' share price is approaching 39 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CITIC Securities, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CITIC Securities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CITIC Securities from the perspective of CITIC Securities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CITIC Securities on the next trading day is expected to be 3.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.79. CITIC Securities after-hype prediction price | USD 3.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CITIC |
CITIC Securities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CITIC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CITIC using various technical indicators. When you analyze CITIC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CITIC Securities Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CITIC Securities on the next trading day is expected to be 3.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CITIC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CITIC Securities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CITIC Securities Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CITIC Securities | CITIC Securities Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CITIC Securities pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CITIC Securities pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6633 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0785 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0211 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.7865 |
Predictive Modules for CITIC Securities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CITIC Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CITIC Securities After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CITIC Securities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CITIC Securities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of CITIC Securities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CITIC Securities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CITIC Securities' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CITIC Securities' historical news coverage. CITIC Securities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.01 and 5.99, respectively. We have considered CITIC Securities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CITIC Securities is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CITIC Securities is based on 3 months time horizon.
CITIC Securities Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CITIC Securities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CITIC Securities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CITIC Securities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.50 | 3.50 | 0.00 |
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CITIC Securities Hype Timeline
CITIC Securities is currently traded for 3.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CITIC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on CITIC Securities is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.50. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.79. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CITIC Securities last dividend was issued on the 30th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.CITIC Securities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CITIC Securities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CITIC Securities' future price movements. Getting to know how CITIC Securities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CITIC Securities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MQBKY | Macquarie Group Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.17 | (1.84) | 5.86 | |
| GUOSF | Guotai Junan Securities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MCQEF | Macquarie Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.36 | (0.16) | 16.28 | |
| CHBJF | China CITIC Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.56 | |
| PPCCF | PICC Property And | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.21 | 15.89 | (4.62) | 99.55 | |
| PBCRF | PT Bank Central | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.13 | 0.00 | 28.86 | |
| OVCHY | Overseas Chinese Banking | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.39 | 0.28 | 1.77 | (1.18) | 7.02 | |
| ARZGY | Assicurazioni Generali SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.01 | 1.78 | (2.00) | 5.53 | |
| SMPNY | Sompo Holdings ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | 0.07 | 2.77 | (2.12) | 8.03 | |
| PPCCY | PICC Property and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.88 | (5.49) | 17.15 |
CITIC Securities Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CITIC Securities pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CITIC Securities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CITIC Securities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CITIC Securities Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CITIC Securities pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CITIC Securities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CITIC Securities pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CITIC Securities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CITIC Securities Risk Indicators
The analysis of CITIC Securities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CITIC Securities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting citic pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5764 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Variance | 5.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CITIC Securities
The number of cover stories for CITIC Securities depends on current market conditions and CITIC Securities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CITIC Securities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CITIC Securities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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CITIC Securities Short Properties
CITIC Securities' future price predictability will typically decrease when CITIC Securities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CITIC Securities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CITIC Securities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CITIC Securities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.6 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 12.1 B |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Other Consideration for investing in CITIC Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in CITIC Securities check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CITIC Securities' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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