CITIC Securities Price Prediction
| CIIHFDelisted Stock | USD 3.50 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CITIC Securities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CITIC Securities from the perspective of CITIC Securities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CITIC Securities to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CITIC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CITIC Securities after-hype prediction price | USD 3.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CITIC |
CITIC Securities After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CITIC Securities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CITIC Securities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of CITIC Securities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CITIC Securities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CITIC Securities' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CITIC Securities' historical news coverage. CITIC Securities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.05 and 5.97, respectively. We have considered CITIC Securities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CITIC Securities is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CITIC Securities is based on 3 months time horizon.
CITIC Securities Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CITIC Securities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CITIC Securities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CITIC Securities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 2.46 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.50 | 3.51 | 0.29 |
|
CITIC Securities Hype Timeline
CITIC Securities is currently traded for 3.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. CITIC is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on CITIC Securities is about 49200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.50. The company reported the revenue of 75.6 B. Net Income was 23.1 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 65.53 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.CITIC Securities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CITIC Securities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CITIC Securities' future price movements. Getting to know how CITIC Securities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CITIC Securities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MQBKY | Macquarie Group Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.17 | (1.84) | 5.86 | |
| GUOSF | Guotai Junan Securities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MCQEF | Macquarie Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.36 | (0.16) | 16.28 | |
| CHBJF | China CITIC Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.56 | |
| PPCCF | PICC Property And | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.21 | 15.89 | (4.62) | 99.55 | |
| PBCRF | PT Bank Central | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.13 | 0.00 | 28.86 | |
| OVCHY | Overseas Chinese Banking | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | 0.28 | 1.77 | (1.18) | 7.02 | |
| ARZGY | Assicurazioni Generali SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.01 | 1.78 | (2.00) | 5.53 | |
| SMPNY | Sompo Holdings ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | 0.07 | 2.77 | (2.12) | 8.03 | |
| PPCCY | PICC Property and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.88 | (5.49) | 17.15 |
CITIC Securities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CITIC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CITIC using various technical indicators. When you analyze CITIC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CITIC Securities Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CITIC Securities stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CITIC Securities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CITIC Securities based on analysis of CITIC Securities hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CITIC Securities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CITIC Securities's related companies.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Other Consideration for investing in CITIC Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in CITIC Securities check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CITIC Securities' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges |