COMINTL BK Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| CIN Stock | EUR 2.36 0.24 11.32% |
COMINTL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of COMINTL BK's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of COMINTL BK's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.042 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.482 |
Using COMINTL BK hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of COMINTL BK GDR from the perspective of COMINTL BK response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of COMINTL BK GDR on the next trading day is expected to be 2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.61. COMINTL BK after-hype prediction price | EUR 2.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
COMINTL |
COMINTL BK Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine COMINTL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for COMINTL using various technical indicators. When you analyze COMINTL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
COMINTL BK Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of COMINTL BK GDR on the next trading day is expected to be 2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict COMINTL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that COMINTL BK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
COMINTL BK Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest COMINTL BK | COMINTL BK Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
COMINTL BK Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting COMINTL BK's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. COMINTL BK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.39, respectively. We have considered COMINTL BK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of COMINTL BK stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent COMINTL BK stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0164 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0613 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0316 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.6143 |
Predictive Modules for COMINTL BK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COMINTL BK GDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.COMINTL BK After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of COMINTL BK at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in COMINTL BK or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of COMINTL BK, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
COMINTL BK Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting COMINTL BK's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on COMINTL BK's historical news coverage. COMINTL BK's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 7.37, respectively. We have considered COMINTL BK's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
COMINTL BK is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of COMINTL BK GDR is based on 3 months time horizon.
COMINTL BK Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as COMINTL BK is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading COMINTL BK backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with COMINTL BK, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.73 | 5.06 | 0.00 | 10.43 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.36 | 2.36 | 0.00 |
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COMINTL BK Hype Timeline
COMINTL BK GDR is currently traded for 2.36on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 10.43. COMINTL is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.73%. %. The volatility of related hype on COMINTL BK is about 35.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.79. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.71. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. COMINTL BK GDR last dividend was issued on the 4th of April 2025. The entity had 11:10 split on the 16th of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of COMINTL BK to cross-verify your projections.COMINTL BK Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to COMINTL BK's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict COMINTL BK's future price movements. Getting to know how COMINTL BK's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how COMINTL BK may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PQ9 | PT Bank Mandiri | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 17.39 | (15.38) | 128.84 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | 100.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.76 | (4.35) | 105.23 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.00 | (3.57) | 113.32 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.00 | (4.76) | 114.52 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.56 | (5.56) | 106.37 | |
| BZG2 | BANK CENTRAL ASIA | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.56 | (2.56) | 103.23 | |
| BZG2 | BANK CENTRAL ASIA | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | (2.56) | 103.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for COMINTL BK
For every potential investor in COMINTL, whether a beginner or expert, COMINTL BK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. COMINTL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in COMINTL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying COMINTL BK's price trends.COMINTL BK Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with COMINTL BK stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of COMINTL BK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing COMINTL BK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
COMINTL BK Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how COMINTL BK stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading COMINTL BK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying COMINTL BK stock market strength indicators, traders can identify COMINTL BK GDR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
COMINTL BK Risk Indicators
The analysis of COMINTL BK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in COMINTL BK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting comintl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.82 | |||
| Variance | 23.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for COMINTL BK
The number of cover stories for COMINTL BK depends on current market conditions and COMINTL BK's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that COMINTL BK is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about COMINTL BK's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in COMINTL Stock
COMINTL BK financial ratios help investors to determine whether COMINTL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COMINTL with respect to the benefits of owning COMINTL BK security.