Clime Investment Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Key Indicators . Simple Exponential Smoothing . Stocks . Australia . 
Stock . Clime Investment Management
CIW Stock   0.32  0.00  0.00%   
Clime Investment Management's Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The forecast is recalculated with each session so it does not rely on stale inputs. A small Bias confirms the model is not systematically over- or under-predicting. The Simple Exponential Smoothing model projects Clime Investment at 0.32 for the next trading day, at the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
Simple exponential smoothing for Clime Investment produces a smoothed price series by assigning exponentially decreasing weights to older observations — unlike a moving average, which weights all periods equally. Recent Clime Investment Management prices therefore have the greatest influence on the forecast.

Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing model forecasts Clime Investment at 0.32 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0016 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0048 , and sum of absolute errors of 0.1 .
This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Clime Investment's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Clime Investment  Clime Investment Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

The projected range for Clime Investment reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The forecast band spans 0.0032 to 1.94. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Market Value
0.32
0.0032
Downside
0.32
Expected Value
1.94
Upside
Target Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Simple Exponential Smoothing model's error metrics for Clime Investment stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.785
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.001
MADMean absolute deviation0.0016
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0048
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1
This model is best suited for Clime Investment price series without a persistent trend or seasonal pattern. When a directional trend is present, the forecast will tend to lag the actual price. The smoothing parameter controls the trade-off between responsiveness and noise reduction.

Other Forecasting Options for Clime Investment

MACD analysis of Clime Investment tracks the relationship between two exponential moving averages of Clime Investment's price. Many Clime Investment's traders use Fibonacci levels to set entry and exit targets based on prior price swings. Average True Range measures the typical daily price swing for Clime Investment, accounting for gaps. The frequency and magnitude of gaps reveal how much new information is being priced into Clime Investment outside regular hours.
Naive Prediction
Simple Exponential Smoothing
Double Exponential Smoothing
Triple Exponential Smoothing
Simple Regression
Polynomial Regression
Simple Moving Average
4 Period Moving Average
8 Period Moving Average
20 Period Moving Average

Clime Investment Related Equities

These stocks are related to Clime Investment within the Financials space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Checking cash flow across this peer set helps gauge Clime Investment's relative financial strength. A stock that beats its peers on many metrics often deserves a closer look from value-focused investors.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Clime Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Clime Investment quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Clime Investment. The Market Facilitation Index measures how efficiently price moves relative to volume — rising MFI with rising volume signals strong trend participation. Monitoring these indicators for Clime Investment through complete market cycles reveals recurring patterns.
Rate Of Daily Change1.0
Day Median Price0.32
Day Typical Price0.32
Relative Strength Index26.0

Clime Investment Risk Indicators

Analyzing Clime Investment's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Clime Investment helps place recent price behavior in context. These metrics are most informative when compared against similar equities with comparable growth profiles and market capitalization. When semi-deviation is high relative to standard deviation, Clime Investment's losses have been disproportionately large compared to gains.
Mean Deviation0.6474
Standard Deviation1.61
Variance2.6
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Clime Investment Short Properties

Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Clime Investment is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76.22 million
Cash And Short Term Investments2.47 million

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