Clavister Holding Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CLAV Stock | SEK 4.72 0.16 3.51% |
Clavister Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Clavister Holding's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Clavister Holding, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Clavister Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Clavister Holding AB from the perspective of Clavister Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Clavister Holding AB on the next trading day is expected to be 4.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.43. Clavister Holding after-hype prediction price | SEK 4.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Clavister |
Clavister Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Clavister price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Clavister using various technical indicators. When you analyze Clavister charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Clavister Holding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Clavister Holding AB on the next trading day is expected to be 4.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clavister Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clavister Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Clavister Holding Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Clavister Holding | Clavister Holding Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Clavister Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Clavister Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Clavister Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 9.74, respectively. We have considered Clavister Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clavister Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clavister Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7982 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2693 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0781 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.4259 |
Predictive Modules for Clavister Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clavister Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Clavister Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Clavister Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Clavister Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Clavister Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Clavister Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Clavister Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Clavister Holding's historical news coverage. Clavister Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.24 and 10.01, respectively. We have considered Clavister Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Clavister Holding is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Clavister Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Clavister Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Clavister Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Clavister Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Clavister Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.84 | 5.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.72 | 4.72 | 0.00 |
|
Clavister Holding Hype Timeline
Clavister Holding is currently traded for 4.72on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Clavister is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.84%. %. The volatility of related hype on Clavister Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.72. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.65. Clavister Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1049:999 split on the 28th of October 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clavister Holding to cross-verify your projections.Clavister Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Clavister Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Clavister Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Clavister Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Clavister Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CINT | Cint Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.67 | 0.02 | 5.73 | (5.23) | 21.15 | |
| SOF-B | Softronic AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.69 | (1.90) | 8.33 | |
| MSAB-B | Micro Systemation AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.35 | 0.01 | 5.03 | (3.73) | 21.19 | |
| ENEA | Enea AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.37 | (3.69) | 13.96 | |
| NETI-B | Net Insight AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.53 | (8.10) | 34.92 | |
| FPIP | FormPipe Software AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.24 | (3.23) | 16.34 | |
| ADVE | Advenica AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.11 | 0.05 | 8.16 | (4.92) | 22.87 | |
| FREJA | Freja eID Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.91 | (3.98) | 15.99 | |
| CTEK | Ctek AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.07 | 2.33 | (2.40) | 9.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Clavister Holding
For every potential investor in Clavister, whether a beginner or expert, Clavister Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Clavister Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Clavister. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Clavister Holding's price trends.Clavister Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clavister Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clavister Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clavister Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Clavister Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Clavister Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Clavister Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Clavister Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Clavister Holding AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Clavister Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Clavister Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Clavister Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting clavister stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.12 | |||
| Variance | 26.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Clavister Holding
The number of cover stories for Clavister Holding depends on current market conditions and Clavister Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Clavister Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Clavister Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Clavister Holding Short Properties
Clavister Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Clavister Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Clavister Holding AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Clavister Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clavister Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49.9 M |
Additional Tools for Clavister Stock Analysis
When running Clavister Holding's price analysis, check to measure Clavister Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clavister Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Clavister Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clavister Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clavister Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clavister Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.