Cleveland Cliffs Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

CLF Stock  MXN 255.00  16.23  6.80%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cleveland Cliffs on the next trading day is expected to be 253.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 16.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 685.70. Cleveland Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Cleveland Cliffs is based on a synthetically constructed Cleveland Cliffsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Cleveland Cliffs 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cleveland Cliffs on the next trading day is expected to be 253.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 16.72, mean absolute percentage error of 368.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 685.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cleveland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cleveland Cliffs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cleveland Cliffs Stock Forecast Pattern

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Cleveland Cliffs Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cleveland Cliffs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cleveland Cliffs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 249.10 and 258.20, respectively. We have considered Cleveland Cliffs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
255.00
249.10
Downside
253.65
Expected Value
258.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cleveland Cliffs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cleveland Cliffs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria87.2621
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -5.6567
MADMean absolute deviation16.7245
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0668
SAESum of the absolute errors685.703
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Cleveland Cliffs 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Cleveland Cliffs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cleveland Cliffs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
250.45255.00259.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
205.44209.99280.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
234.29249.59264.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cleveland Cliffs

For every potential investor in Cleveland, whether a beginner or expert, Cleveland Cliffs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cleveland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cleveland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cleveland Cliffs' price trends.

Cleveland Cliffs Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cleveland Cliffs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cleveland Cliffs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cleveland Cliffs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cleveland Cliffs Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cleveland Cliffs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cleveland Cliffs' current price.

Cleveland Cliffs Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cleveland Cliffs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cleveland Cliffs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cleveland Cliffs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cleveland Cliffs entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cleveland Cliffs Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cleveland Cliffs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cleveland Cliffs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cleveland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Cleveland Stock Analysis

When running Cleveland Cliffs' price analysis, check to measure Cleveland Cliffs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cleveland Cliffs is operating at the current time. Most of Cleveland Cliffs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cleveland Cliffs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cleveland Cliffs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cleveland Cliffs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.